95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04
Joined December 2025
Total earnings
$169,151.79
1D
$290.40
7D
$2.5K
30D
$13.2K
90D
$28.4K
Total volume
$60.64M
Predictions
3,703
Positions value
$383.9K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$166.1K
LP+$386.55
Maker+$761.06
Yield+$3.7K
Referral+$33.24
Taker+$43.95
Fees−$1.9K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 89.6¢94.9K shares
89.6¢→96.3¢
$85.0K
$94.9K
$91.3K
+$6.3K (+7.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 91.3¢60.0K shares
91.3¢→97.7¢
$54.8K
$60.0K
$58.6K
+$3.8K (+6.9%)
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 88.2¢28.1K shares
88.2¢→94.3¢
$24.8K
$28.1K
$26.5K
+$1.7K (+6.9%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 90.0¢21.3K shares
90.0¢→97¢
$19.2K
$21.3K
$20.7K
+$1.5K (+7.8%)
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95.0¢14.1K shares
95.0¢→99.1¢
$13.4K
$14.1K
$14.0K
+$574.42 (+4.3%)
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No 88.7¢12.7K shares
88.7¢→96.0¢
$11.2K
$12.7K
$12.2K
+$913.15 (+8.1%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
No 94.8¢11.8K shares
94.8¢→97.5¢
$11.2K
$11.8K
$11.5K
+$318.89 (+2.8%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢11.0K shares
87.5¢→92.5¢
$9.6K
$11.0K
$10.2K
+$555.00 (+5.8%)
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No 88.4¢9.4K shares
88.4¢→92.5¢
$8.3K
$9.4K
$8.7K
+$379.87 (+4.6%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 88.0¢10.0K shares
88.0¢→84.5¢
$8.8K
$10.0K
$8.4K
−$349.99 (-4.0%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 84.9¢9.2K shares
84.9¢→87.5¢
$7.8K
$9.2K
$8.1K
+$241.58 (+3.1%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 67.3¢10.2K shares
67.3¢→69.5¢
$6.9K
$10.2K
$7.1K
+$220.45 (+3.2%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No 84.6¢7.4K shares
84.6¢→91.5¢
$6.2K
$7.4K
$6.7K
+$509.92 (+8.2%)
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
No 93.0¢6.6K shares
93.0¢→98.7¢
$6.2K
$6.6K
$6.5K
+$373.01 (+6.1%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 82.1¢5.4K shares
82.1¢→91.5¢
$4.4K
$5.4K
$4.9K
+$502.38 (+11.4%)
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 53.0¢5.0K shares
53.0¢→95.5¢
$2.6K
$5.0K
$4.8K
+$2.1K (+80.2%)
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
No 58.4¢4.4K shares
58.4¢→99.1¢
$2.6K
$4.4K
$4.3K
+$1.8K (+69.7%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 90.4¢4.0K shares
90.4¢→96.8¢
$3.6K
$4.0K
$3.8K
+$250.14 (+7.0%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 84¢3.4K shares
84¢→95.7¢
$2.8K
$3.4K
$3.2K
+$393.29 (+13.9%)
EU dissolves before 2027?
No 95.5¢3.2K shares
95.5¢→97.8¢
$3.0K
$3.2K
$3.1K
+$72.98 (+2.4%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 90.7¢3.2K shares
90.7¢→96.0¢
$2.9K
$3.2K
$3.1K
+$167.78 (+5.8%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 94.6¢3.0K shares
94.6¢→93.0¢
$2.8K
$3.0K
$2.8K
−$46.05 (-1.6%)
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
No 97.9¢2.9K shares
97.9¢→97.8¢
$2.8K
$2.9K
$2.8K
−$1.67 (-0.1%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 78.9¢2.5K shares
78.9¢→95.3¢
$2.0K
$2.5K
$2.4K
+$414.99 (+20.8%)
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
No 67.0¢2.4K shares
67.0¢→98.4¢
$1.6K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$752.36 (+46.9%)
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No 91.5¢2.4K shares
91.5¢→97.2¢
$2.2K
$2.4K
$2.3K
+$135.61 (+6.2%)
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No 85.6¢2.2K shares
85.6¢→96.7¢
$1.9K
$2.2K
$2.1K
+$243.30 (+12.9%)
NATO dissolves before 2027?
No 91.1¢2.1K shares
91.1¢→97.6¢
$1.9K
$2.1K
$2.1K
+$137.59 (+7.1%)
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No 89.5¢2.1K shares
89.5¢→95¢
$1.9K
$2.1K
$2.0K
+$113.54 (+6.1%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 92¢2.0K shares
92¢→97.7¢
$1.8K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$113.00 (+6.1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
No 91.5¢2.0K shares
91.5¢→94.5¢
$1.8K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$60.00 (+3.3%)
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢1.9K shares
92.5¢→98.4¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.9K
+$112.26 (+6.3%)
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No 84.5¢2.0K shares
84.5¢→92.5¢
$1.7K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$160.00 (+9.5%)
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No 87.8¢1.9K shares
87.8¢→95.3¢
$1.7K
$1.9K
$1.8K
+$143.65 (+8.6%)
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No 79.3¢1.8K shares
79.3¢→85.5¢
$1.4K
$1.8K
$1.5K
+$110.74 (+7.9%)
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
No 94.3¢1.4K shares
94.3¢→94.5¢
$1.4K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$2.75 (+0.2%)
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
No 82.9¢2.0K shares
82.9¢→66.5¢
$1.7K
$2.0K
$1.4K
−$334.71 (-19.8%)
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
No 86.8¢1.4K shares
86.8¢→95.6¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$123.09 (+10.2%)
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
No 83.0¢1.3K shares
83.0¢→89¢
$1.1K
$1.3K
$1.1K
+$77.60 (+7.3%)
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
No 93.1¢1.1K shares
93.1¢→94¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$10.40 (+1.0%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 86¢1.1K shares
86¢→94.5¢
$928.77
$1.1K
$1.0K
+$91.80 (+9.9%)
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
No 89.5¢1.0K shares
89.5¢→96.8¢
$908.61
$1.0K
$982.97
+$74.36 (+8.2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢1.0K shares
91¢→97.9¢
$910.00
$1.0K
$978.50
+$68.50 (+7.5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢1.0K shares
90¢→97.8¢
$900.00
$1.0K
$978.00
+$78.00 (+8.7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢1.0K shares
90¢→97.5¢
$900.00
$1.0K
$975.50
+$75.50 (+8.4%)
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢1.0K shares
84¢→97.0¢
$840.00
$1.0K
$970.50
+$130.50 (+15.5%)
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 93¢1.0K shares
93¢→96.5¢
$930.00
$1.0K
$965.00
+$35.00 (+3.8%)
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
No 91.5¢1.0K shares
91.5¢→96.2¢
$915.00
$1.0K
$962.00
+$47.00 (+5.1%)
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
No 88.5¢970 shares
88.5¢→96.7¢
$858.28
$969.98
$937.97
+$79.69 (+9.3%)
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 90.6¢971.1 shares
90.6¢→96.2¢
$879.71
$971.11
$934.21
+$54.50 (+6.2%)
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No 86.0¢974.8 shares
86.0¢→95.5¢
$838.45
$974.76
$930.90
+$92.45 (+11.0%)
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢950 shares
90¢→97.9¢
$855.00
$950.00
$930.05
+$75.05 (+8.8%)
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
No 93¢1.0K shares
93¢→91.5¢
$930.00
$1.0K
$915.00
−$15.00 (-1.6%)
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
No 86.0¢845.8 shares
86.0¢→96.0¢
$727.29
$845.76
$811.51
+$84.21 (+11.6%)
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No 91.4¢826.7 shares
91.4¢→95.9¢
$755.39
$826.68
$792.38
+$36.98 (+4.9%)
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No 88.7¢800 shares
88.7¢→96.5¢
$709.99
$800.00
$772.00
+$62.00 (+8.7%)
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No 95.0¢751.9 shares
95.0¢→96.2¢
$714.55
$751.90
$723.33
+$8.78 (+1.2%)
USD1 depeg by December 31?
No 86.9¢800 shares
86.9¢→89.5¢
$695.00
$800.00
$716.00
+$21.00 (+3.0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 94.9¢600 shares
94.9¢→98.4¢
$569.70
$600.00
$590.10
+$20.40 (+3.6%)
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
No 91.8¢588.4 shares
91.8¢→96.3¢
$540.43
$588.38
$566.32
+$25.89 (+4.8%)
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
No 92.6¢566.7 shares
92.6¢→95.7¢
$524.56
$566.68
$542.31
+$17.75 (+3.4%)
Fed abolished before 2027?
No 92¢500 shares
92¢→98.2¢
$460.00
$500.00
$491.00
+$31.00 (+6.7%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 71¢570.3 shares
71¢→83.5¢
$404.91
$570.29
$476.19
+$71.29 (+17.6%)
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 91.8¢473.3 shares
91.8¢→98.3¢
$434.74
$473.30
$465.25
+$30.51 (+7.0%)
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 89.2¢499 shares
89.2¢→89.5¢
$445.24
$498.99
$446.84
+$1.60 (+0.4%)
USDE depeg by December 31?
No 91.5¢454.2 shares
91.5¢→94.5¢
$415.52
$454.15
$429.17
+$13.65 (+3.3%)
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 96.8¢424.3 shares
96.8¢→99.3¢
$410.53
$424.26
$421.29
+$10.76 (+2.6%)
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
Yes 98.2¢378.8 shares
98.2¢→98¢
$372.10
$378.84
$371.26
−$0.84 (-0.2%)
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
No 83.7¢362.1 shares
83.7¢→96.5¢
$302.91
$362.09
$349.41
+$46.50 (+15.4%)
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No 82¢500 shares
82¢→66.5¢
$410.00
$500.00
$332.50
−$77.50 (-18.9%)
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
No 68.7¢350.6 shares
68.7¢→94.5¢
$240.94
$350.57
$331.29
+$90.35 (+37.5%)
Obama federally charged before 2027?
No 89.6¢334.9 shares
89.6¢→96.0¢
$300.06
$334.90
$321.67
+$21.61 (+7.2%)
China coup attempt before 2027?
No 92.1¢300 shares
92.1¢→97.0¢
$276.40
$300.00
$290.85
+$14.45 (+5.2%)
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 88¢300 shares
88¢→94.5¢
$264.00
$300.00
$283.50
+$19.50 (+7.4%)
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
No 89¢272.9 shares
89¢→97.9¢
$242.92
$272.95
$267.08
+$24.16 (+9.9%)
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 87.9¢288.3 shares
87.9¢→89.5¢
$253.50
$288.30
$258.03
+$4.52 (+1.8%)
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 93¢262.1 shares
93¢→97.5¢
$243.74
$262.09
$255.67
+$11.93 (+4.9%)
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph?
Yes 99.0¢258.8 shares
99.0¢→98.5¢
$256.18
$258.83
$254.82
−$1.36 (-0.5%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
No 95.6¢262 shares
95.6¢→97.3¢
$250.42
$261.99
$254.79
+$4.37 (+1.7%)
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
No 92.9¢253.2 shares
92.9¢→97.9¢
$235.13
$253.15
$247.83
+$12.70 (+5.4%)
Obama arrested before 2027?
No 90.5¢250 shares
90.5¢→96.7¢
$226.24
$249.99
$241.61
+$15.37 (+6.8%)
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
No 96.7¢300 shares
96.7¢→78.9¢
$290.10
$300.00
$236.70
−$53.40 (-18.4%)
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 92.3¢248.4 shares
92.3¢→93.3¢
$229.29
$248.42
$231.65
+$2.36 (+1.0%)
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No 88¢244.1 shares
88¢→94.7¢
$214.80
$244.09
$231.15
+$16.35 (+7.6%)
Human moon landing in 2026?
No 93¢223.2 shares
93¢→98.2¢
$207.54
$223.16
$219.14
+$11.60 (+5.6%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 66.5¢324.5 shares
66.5¢→67.5¢
$215.70
$324.53
$219.06
+$3.36 (+1.6%)
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?
Yes 56.7¢267.3 shares
56.7¢→79¢
$151.47
$267.30
$211.17
+$59.70 (+39.4%)
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 94.0¢207.6 shares
94.0¢→98.6¢
$195.14
$207.60
$204.59
+$9.45 (+4.8%)
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 93¢191.1 shares
93¢→98.4¢
$177.69
$191.06
$188.00
+$10.32 (+5.8%)
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 94¢185 shares
94¢→98.4¢
$173.90
$185.00
$182.04
+$8.14 (+4.7%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
No 95¢186.4 shares
95¢→97.0¢
$177.12
$186.44
$180.76
+$3.64 (+2.1%)
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
No 70.1¢1.6K shares
70.1¢→10.5¢
$1.1K
$1.6K
$165.86
−$941.41 (-85.0%)
Will Trump nationalize elections?
No 74.8¢173.7 shares
74.8¢→89.5¢
$130.00
$173.70
$155.46
+$25.46 (+19.6%)
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?
No 93.4¢160.8 shares
93.4¢→96.0¢
$150.18
$160.79
$154.44
+$4.26 (+2.8%)
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
No 68.6¢282.7 shares
68.6¢→52.5¢
$193.92
$282.71
$148.42
−$45.50 (-23.5%)
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 92.9¢146.7 shares
92.9¢→99.4¢
$136.27
$146.72
$145.84
+$9.57 (+7.0%)
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 87.7¢200 shares
87.7¢→72.3¢
$175.40
$200.00
$144.50
−$30.90 (-17.6%)
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 90.3¢141.1 shares
90.3¢→99.7¢
$127.37
$141.06
$140.56
+$13.19 (+10.4%)
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
No 93¢138.1 shares
93¢→95.0¢
$128.41
$138.08
$131.10
+$2.69 (+2.1%)
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
No 68.6¢207.6 shares
68.6¢→60¢
$142.37
$207.56
$124.54
−$17.83 (-12.5%)