meagainsttheworld

Joined February 2026

Flex cardPolymarket

Total earnings

$38,342.92

1D

−$4.8K

7D

−$49.2K

30D

−$2.8K

90D

$64.0K

Total volume

$11.56M

Predictions

935

Positions value

$76.9K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$37.4K

LP+$2.7K

Maker+$27.18

Taker+$86.83

Fees−$1.6K

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 179k earners

of 143k earners

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 18.9¢200.4K shares

18.9¢→16.5¢

−$4.8K (-12.6%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

No 17.3¢58.5K shares

−$5.1K (-50.8%)

Iran full airspace closure by August 15?

No 91.0¢5.0K shares

91.0¢→95.5¢

+$226.12 (+5.0%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

No 24.3¢26.0K shares

24.3¢→13.5¢

−$2.8K (-44.4%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 6.0¢136.2K shares

−$5.2K (-64.1%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

No 16.7¢23.0K shares

16.7¢→12.5¢

−$960.44 (-25.0%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

No 39.5¢3.5K shares

39.5¢→72.5¢

+$1.2K (+83.8%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

No 23.1¢16.0K shares

23.1¢→14.5¢

−$1.4K (-37.2%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 8.4¢5.2K shares

+$1.4K (+313.7%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

No 11.1¢23.0K shares

−$835.65 (-32.6%)

Iran leadership change by September 30?

Yes 6.6¢20.0K shares

+$174.88 (+13.2%)

Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?

Yes 2.8¢64.0K shares

−$350.79 (-19.6%)

Iran leadership change by August 31?

Yes 2.9¢23.8K shares

+$244.47 (+35.7%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 16.2¢4.0K shares

16.2¢→22.5¢

+$251.25 (+38.7%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

No 5.8¢86.8K shares

−$4.3K (-84.5%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

Yes 5.3¢15.2K shares

−$107.97 (-13.2%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 7.3¢10.0K shares

−$81.82 (-11.2%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?

Yes 21.6¢3.8K shares

−$210.00 (-25.9%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Yes 6.5¢6.9K shares

+$76.97 (+17.1%)

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Yes 9¢7.0K shares

−$105.00 (-16.7%)

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Yes 8.2¢8.7K shares

−$188.18 (-26.6%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16.6¢2.0K shares

16.6¢→22.9¢

+$127.58 (+38.5%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 13.9¢7.0K shares

−$514.98 (-53.1%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

No 28.0¢1,000 shares

28.0¢→43.5¢

+$155.00 (+55.4%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Yes 24.6¢4.5K shares

−$678.56 (-61.3%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 27.0¢1.6K shares

27.0¢→26.5¢

−$8.00 (-1.9%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?

Yes 14.1¢3.4K shares

14.1¢→10.5¢

−$121.07 (-25.4%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 15.1¢3.0K shares

15.1¢→11.5¢

−$108.23 (-23.9%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

No 37.0¢918.9 shares

37.0¢→33.5¢

−$32.16 (-9.5%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Yes 23¢1.1K shares

+$37.62 (+15.2%)

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?

No 59.9¢270 shares

59.9¢→98.0¢

+$102.71 (+63.5%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Yes 24.8¢2.9K shares

−$476.30 (-65.7%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Yes 4.0¢13.6K shares

−$310.51 (-56.6%)

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 24.0¢699.9 shares

+$56.25 (+33.5%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes 35.5¢3.3K shares

−$956.90 (-81.7%)

Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?

No 93.8¢213.2 shares

93.8¢→97.8¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Yes 18.8¢6.6K shares

−$1.0K (-83.3%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?

Yes 7.4¢3.3K shares

−$51.14 (-20.9%)

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Yes 9.1¢4.0K shares

−$198.68 (-54.8%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?

Yes 4.3¢6.9K shares

−$140.99 (-47.0%)

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Yes 5.8¢2.9K shares

−$9.68 (-5.8%)

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Yes 14.8¢1.3K shares

−$85.43 (-42.7%)

Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.1¢7.5K shares

+$32.68 (+40.9%)

Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026?

Yes 68.2¢115.9 shares

68.2¢→90.5¢

+$25.87 (+32.7%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

Yes 8.6¢1.0K shares

+$9.58 (+10.6%)

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?

No 48.7¢98.6 shares

48.7¢→99.4¢

+$49.98 (+104.1%)

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Yes 15.0¢666.7 shares

15.0¢→12.5¢

−$16.67 (-16.7%)

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 4.4¢1.6K shares

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?

Yes 17.9¢1.6K shares

−$217.83 (-74.9%)

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

Yes 10.6¢760.1 shares

−$11.31 (-14.0%)

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?

No 80.3¢67.2 shares

80.3¢→99.7¢

+$13.03 (+24.1%)

Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?

No 68.7¢67 shares

68.7¢→96.3¢

+$18.52 (+40.3%)

Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?

Yes 66.9¢64.3 shares

66.9¢→99.4¢

+$20.84 (+48.5%)

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 10, 2026?

Yes 8.9¢370 shares

+$28.05 (+85.0%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?

Yes 6¢999.6 shares

−$17.49 (-29.2%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 24.3¢271.3 shares

24.3¢→15.6¢

−$23.81 (-36.1%)

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 0.6¢8.4K shares

−$11.01 (-22.5%)

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

Yes 8.0¢862.9 shares

−$34.05 (-49.4%)

NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?

Yes 28.3¢508.5 shares

−$110.95 (-77.0%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 17.5¢1.8K shares

−$282.99 (-90.0%)

Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?

Yes 5.1¢2.1K shares

−$79.64 (-74.3%)

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.0¢1.9K shares

+$6.08 (+30.4%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?

Yes 13.0¢315.4 shares

−$15.77 (-38.5%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?

Yes 1¢3.0K shares

−$10.50 (-35.0%)

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?

Yes 9.8¢1.6K shares

−$138.63 (-88.3%)

Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

No 47¢20 shares

+$8.10 (+86.2%)

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 37¢74.3 shares

−$12.64 (-45.9%)

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 2.4¢268 shares

+$5.76 (+89.4%)

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 42.7¢46.8 shares

42.7¢→25.5¢

−$8.06 (-40.3%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?

Yes 1.5¢1.3K shares

−$8.67 (-43.3%)

Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?

Yes 89.4¢24.1 shares

−$10.94 (-50.8%)

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026?

Yes 35.8¢524.1 shares

−$179.16 (-95.4%)

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 7, 2026?

Yes 10.7¢281.5 shares

−$24.48 (-80.9%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?

Yes 0.6¢1.2K shares

−$1.36 (-19.7%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?

Yes 0.7¢1.4K shares

−$5.00 (-50.0%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 36.0¢13.9 shares

36.0¢→32.5¢

−$0.49 (-9.7%)

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?

Yes 19.4¢103.2 shares

−$16.18 (-80.9%)

Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Yes 7.1¢56.3 shares

−$0.34 (-8.5%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?

Yes 19¢24.8 shares

−$3.34 (-71.1%)

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 5, 2026?

Yes 29.0¢113.8 shares

−$32.26 (-97.8%)

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?

Yes 21.0¢66.8 shares

−$13.97 (-99.8%)

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

Yes 4.4¢150 shares

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

No 47.9¢25 shares

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

Yes 15.3¢269 shares

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?

Yes 1.3¢135 shares

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

Yes 18.6¢5.1K shares

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?

Yes 11.2¢500 shares

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?

Yes 38.0¢47.9 shares

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Yes 10.1¢387.9 shares

Iran full airspace closure by July 24?

Yes 14.0¢1.1K shares

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 66.4¢725.7 shares

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Yes 8.5¢934.1 shares

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 17.9¢271.7 shares

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Yes 5.3¢162.4 shares

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?

No 10.5¢8.4K shares

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Yes 12.0¢20.8 shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

Yes 5.3¢15.8K shares

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?

Yes 3.9¢1.2K shares

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Yes 18.3¢54.7 shares

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

No 45.6¢140 shares