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PolyScalping

Tenebrus7

Joined June 2024

Total earnings

$215,843.31
1D
$8.7K
7D
$19.8K
30D
$17.7K
90D
$55.1K
Total volume
$73.83M
Predictions
4,400
Positions value
$289.7K
Performance
+$160.3K
+$50.6K
+$4.5K
+$419.60
+$34.51
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 90.3¢14.7K shares
$13.9K
+$588.09 (+4.4%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 70.3¢14.3K shares
$10.8K
+$819.52 (+8.2%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 92.3¢10.9K shares
$10.3K
+$238.30 (+2.4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81.0¢10.7K shares
$9.1K
+$378.90 (+4.4%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 90.0¢9.3K shares
$8.6K
+$232.58 (+2.8%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 68.5¢10.9K shares
$7.8K
+$325.17 (+4.4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 85.3¢7.9K shares
$7.6K
+$857.03 (+12.7%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 87.5¢8.6K shares
$7.5K
+$1.82 (+0.0%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 80.0¢8.4K shares
$7.0K
+$294.41 (+4.4%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 84.9¢7.4K shares
$7.0K
+$709.82 (+11.3%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 62.9¢10.8K shares
$7.0K
+$169.27 (+2.5%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 54.6¢12.7K shares
$5.7K
−$1.3K (-18.5%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 92.0¢5.8K shares
$5.5K
+$86.19 (+1.6%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 46.4¢9.8K shares
$5.3K
+$791.68 (+17.5%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
No 90.9¢5.2K shares
$5.2K
+$456.13 (+9.7%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No 83.2¢6.1K shares
$5.1K
+$20.42 (+0.4%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 60.5¢5.5K shares
$4.5K
+$1.2K (+36.4%)
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 96.4¢4.3K shares
$4.1K
+$2.42 (+0.1%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 91.0¢4.0K shares
$3.7K
+$20.01 (+0.5%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 82.2¢3.8K shares
$3.6K
+$504.58 (+16.3%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 94.5¢3.7K shares
$3.6K
+$44.72 (+1.3%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 61.2¢4.8K shares
$3.6K
+$636.27 (+21.8%)
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
No 76.2¢3.7K shares
$3.4K
+$592.08 (+20.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes 78.1¢4.0K shares
$3.2K
+$53.85 (+1.7%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 87.6¢3.2K shares
$3.1K
+$293.29 (+10.5%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
No 96.8¢3.1K shares
$3.0K
+$36.78 (+1.2%)
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢3.2K shares
$2.9K
+$15.95 (+0.5%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No 76.9¢3.5K shares
$2.7K
+$21.20 (+0.8%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 82.0¢3.2K shares
$2.7K
+$48.91 (+1.8%)
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Yes 59.8¢4.3K shares
$2.5K
−$100.06 (-3.9%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No 76.1¢2.7K shares
$2.4K
+$336.16 (+16.3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
No 85.4¢2.5K shares
$2.3K
+$202.51 (+9.5%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 77.6¢2.8K shares
$2.3K
+$132.09 (+6.0%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 93.8¢2.5K shares
$2.3K
+$17.67 (+0.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Yes 99.6¢2.3K shares
$2.3K
+$8.10 (+0.4%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 88.8¢2.4K shares
$2.2K
+$111.77 (+5.2%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes 66.1¢3.6K shares
$2.2K
−$165.77 (-7.0%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
No 92.0¢2.2K shares
$2.2K
+$142.15 (+6.9%)
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
No 96.4¢2.1K shares
$2.1K
+$39.02 (+1.9%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
No 92.8¢2.1K shares
$2.0K
+$58.71 (+3.0%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 96.0¢2.1K shares
$2.0K
−$4.85 (-0.2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 27.9¢6.8K shares
$2.0K
+$109.19 (+5.8%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 75.5¢2.6K shares
$1.9K
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
No 85.6¢2.1K shares
$1.9K
+$145.86 (+8.3%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 60.0¢2.3K shares
$1.8K
+$424.50 (+30.7%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No 86.9¢2.0K shares
$1.8K
+$32.81 (+1.9%)
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 92.2¢1.9K shares
$1.8K
+$24.39 (+1.4%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 85.8¢1.8K shares
$1.7K
+$103.93 (+6.6%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 25.3¢6.3K shares
$1.7K
+$78.43 (+4.9%)
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 88.3¢1.7K shares
$1.7K
+$125.12 (+8.2%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 90.0¢1.8K shares
$1.6K
+$14.30 (+0.9%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Yes 78.9¢2.3K shares
$1.6K
−$177.00 (-10.0%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 65.7¢2.3K shares
$1.6K
+$85.49 (+5.7%)
Iran leadership change by August 31?
No 97.4¢1.6K shares
$1.6K
−$0.80 (-0.1%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 38.2¢4.5K shares
$1.6K
−$165.70 (-9.7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
No 91.0¢1.5K shares
$1.5K
+$83.12 (+5.9%)
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?
No 90¢1.5K shares
$1.4K
+$82.50 (+6.1%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 70.5¢2.0K shares
$1.4K
−$60.00 (-4.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 89.7¢1.5K shares
$1.3K
−$33.63 (-2.5%)
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
No 86.6¢1.3K shares
$1.3K
+$140.89 (+12.5%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 97.2¢1.3K shares
$1.3K
+$4.74 (+0.4%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 47.0¢2.3K shares
$1.2K
+$157.17 (+14.8%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
No 91.3¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$15.85 (+1.3%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 36.5¢3.1K shares
$1.2K
+$29.96 (+2.6%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 16.7¢8.5K shares
$1.2K
−$268.77 (-18.9%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 64.5¢2.0K shares
$1.1K
−$139.99 (-10.9%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 80.0¢1.3K shares
$1.1K
+$89.60 (+8.7%)
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
No 87.8¢1.3K shares
$1.1K
+$2.44 (+0.2%)
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No 78¢1.2K shares
$1.1K
+$184.25 (+20.5%)
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 88.6¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$47.47 (+4.9%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 40.9¢3.5K shares
$1.0K
−$433.56 (-30.0%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 58.9¢1.6K shares
$1.0K
+$94.61 (+10.3%)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No 70.1¢1.5K shares
$1.0K
−$23.35 (-2.3%)
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 85.8¢1.1K shares
$999.61
+$51.91 (+5.5%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 81.9¢1.1K shares
$985.16
+$93.21 (+10.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
No 93¢1.0K shares
$945.00
+$15.00 (+1.6%)
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
No 91¢1.0K shares
$945.00
+$35.00 (+3.8%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 34.7¢2.7K shares
$943.16
−$6.60 (-0.7%)
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 91.1¢1.0K shares
$929.01
+$18.00 (+2.0%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 93¢1,000 shares
$924.99
−$5.00 (-0.5%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 69.4¢1.1K shares
$914.27
+$140.49 (+18.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 93¢1,000 shares
$906.49
−$23.50 (-2.5%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 84.0¢1.0K shares
$873.32
+$5.10 (+0.6%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 83.4¢1.0K shares
$862.50
+$28.50 (+3.4%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 85.0¢1.0K shares
$845.00
−$5.00 (-0.6%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 63.9¢1.1K shares
$831.63
+$149.93 (+22.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
No 62.2¢1.4K shares
$831.16
−$23.13 (-2.7%)
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
No 59.3¢1.3K shares
$826.20
+$74.73 (+9.9%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 20.1¢7.0K shares
$815.50
−$590.75 (-42.0%)
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
No 72.3¢894.8 shares
$814.22
+$166.90 (+25.8%)
Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?
No 88.6¢846.8 shares
$814.20
+$63.59 (+8.5%)
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No 78.5¢1.0K shares
$780.00
−$5.00 (-0.6%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 48.6¢1.6K shares
$763.83
−$14.40 (-1.9%)
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 95.2¢800 shares
$763.19
+$1.60 (+0.2%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
No 82.6¢875.9 shares
$757.61
+$34.41 (+4.8%)
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 93.4¢757.6 shares
$732.26
+$24.83 (+3.5%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 96.5¢732.5 shares
$724.10
+$17.03 (+2.4%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No 90¢800 shares
$708.00
−$12.00 (-1.7%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Yes 63.1¢1.4K shares
$686.27
−$206.52 (-23.1%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No 95.2¢700 shares
$680.75
+$14.35 (+2.2%)