Total earnings
$409,085.92
1D
$536.15
7D
$305.78
30D
$86.3K
90D
$374.5K
Total volume
$29.83M
Predictions
6,948
Positions value
$268.7K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$313.0K
LP+$79.0K
Maker+$17.0K
Yield+$128.28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 82.3¢14.3K shares
82.3¢→96.2¢
$11.8K
$14.3K
$13.8K
+$2.0K (+16.8%)
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 97.1¢13.8K shares
97.1¢→98.3¢
$13.4K
$13.8K
$13.5K
+$162.52 (+1.2%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 50.7¢17.5K shares
50.7¢→71.5¢
$8.9K
$17.5K
$12.5K
+$3.6K (+41.0%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 92.3¢10.9K shares
92.3¢→98.9¢
$10.0K
$10.9K
$10.8K
+$708.22 (+7.1%)
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No 94.8¢10.0K shares
94.8¢→98.5¢
$9.5K
$10.0K
$9.9K
+$370.11 (+3.9%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 46.3¢17.2K shares
46.3¢→44.6¢
$7.9K
$17.2K
$7.6K
−$292.75 (-3.7%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No 63¢10.7K shares
63¢→70.5¢
$6.8K
$10.7K
$7.6K
+$803.73 (+11.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 48.3¢7.5K shares
48.3¢→83.5¢
$3.6K
$7.5K
$6.2K
+$2.6K (+72.7%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
No 67.7¢6.4K shares
67.7¢→89¢
$4.3K
$6.4K
$5.7K
+$1.4K (+31.4%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 93.6¢5.8K shares
93.6¢→92.8¢
$5.5K
$5.8K
$5.4K
−$46.24 (-0.8%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 81.8¢5.9K shares
81.8¢→90.5¢
$4.8K
$5.9K
$5.4K
+$513.07 (+10.6%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 13.3¢7.7K shares
13.3¢→67¢
$1.0K
$7.7K
$5.2K
+$4.1K (+403.3%)
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Yes 50.1¢7.8K shares
50.1¢→57.5¢
$3.9K
$7.8K
$4.5K
+$580.97 (+14.8%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 76.2¢5.1K shares
76.2¢→75.5¢
$3.9K
$5.1K
$3.9K
−$35.93 (-0.9%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
No 75.3¢4.1K shares
75.3¢→78.5¢
$3.1K
$4.1K
$3.2K
+$128.18 (+4.2%)
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 85.0¢3.5K shares
85.0¢→87.5¢
$3.0K
$3.5K
$3.1K
+$89.68 (+3.0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
No 76.0¢4.5K shares
76.0¢→65¢
$3.4K
$4.5K
$2.9K
−$496.98 (-14.5%)
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?
No 94.6¢2.9K shares
94.6¢→96.4¢
$2.8K
$2.9K
$2.8K
+$52.78 (+1.9%)
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 78.4¢3.3K shares
78.4¢→82.5¢
$2.6K
$3.3K
$2.7K
+$133.69 (+5.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 94.6¢2.4K shares
94.6¢→98.7¢
$2.3K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$97.79 (+4.2%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 51.3¢5.3K shares
51.3¢→45.5¢
$2.7K
$5.3K
$2.4K
−$305.78 (-11.3%)
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Yes 59.9¢2.4K shares
59.9¢→99.4¢
$1.4K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$950.28 (+65.8%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 85.7¢2.5K shares
85.7¢→92.5¢
$2.2K
$2.5K
$2.4K
+$172.20 (+7.9%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢8.5K shares
3.1¢→26.6¢
$265.65
$8.5K
$2.3K
+$2.0K (+749.6%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 86.1¢2.7K shares
86.1¢→84.0¢
$2.3K
$2.7K
$2.2K
−$57.58 (-2.5%)
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No 75.0¢2.9K shares
75.0¢→77¢
$2.2K
$2.9K
$2.2K
+$57.45 (+2.6%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 70¢3.2K shares
70¢→65.5¢
$2.2K
$3.2K
$2.1K
−$143.93 (-6.4%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Yes 85.9¢2.2K shares
85.9¢→84¢
$1.9K
$2.2K
$1.8K
−$41.05 (-2.2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 79¢2.1K shares
79¢→86.5¢
$1.7K
$2.1K
$1.8K
+$158.70 (+9.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85¢2.1K shares
85¢→85¢
$1.8K
$2.1K
$1.8K
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
No 80.7¢2.2K shares
80.7¢→80.6¢
$1.8K
$2.2K
$1.8K
−$1.37 (-0.1%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Yes 61.1¢4.0K shares
61.1¢→44¢
$2.5K
$4.0K
$1.8K
−$690.13 (-28.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Yes 38¢4.5K shares
38¢→38.5¢
$1.7K
$4.5K
$1.7K
+$22.34 (+1.3%)
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 94.3¢1.7K shares
94.3¢→99.0¢
$1.6K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$80.48 (+4.9%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No 91.4¢1.7K shares
91.4¢→97.3¢
$1.6K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$99.16 (+6.4%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 22.3¢9.6K shares
22.3¢→17.1¢
$2.1K
$9.6K
$1.6K
−$504.97 (-23.6%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 7.3¢10.8K shares
7.3¢→14.8¢
$790.93
$10.8K
$1.6K
+$795.97 (+100.6%)
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
No 50.1¢2.7K shares
50.1¢→58.4¢
$1.4K
$2.7K
$1.6K
+$224.11 (+16.5%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
Yes 77.7¢2.1K shares
77.7¢→74.5¢
$1.6K
$2.1K
$1.5K
−$65.78 (-4.1%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 16.6¢12.1K shares
16.6¢→12.4¢
$2.0K
$12.1K
$1.5K
−$500.93 (-25.0%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Yes 66.9¢1.9K shares
66.9¢→79¢
$1.3K
$1.9K
$1.5K
+$230.37 (+18.1%)
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No 89.2¢1.7K shares
89.2¢→88.9¢
$1.5K
$1.7K
$1.5K
−$4.66 (-0.3%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 63.2¢2.6K shares
63.2¢→57.5¢
$1.6K
$2.6K
$1.5K
−$146.53 (-9.0%)
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No 81.3¢1.5K shares
81.3¢→90.8¢
$1.2K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$145.03 (+11.8%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 93.3¢1.4K shares
93.3¢→95.3¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$27.95 (+2.1%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 45.8¢2.1K shares
45.8¢→65.5¢
$948.31
$2.1K
$1.4K
+$406.89 (+42.9%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 35.3¢11.6K shares
35.3¢→11.5¢
$4.1K
$11.6K
$1.3K
−$2.8K (-67.4%)
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
No 87.2¢1.4K shares
87.2¢→92.5¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$72.80 (+6.1%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
No 53.3¢2.6K shares
53.3¢→47.5¢
$1.4K
$2.6K
$1.2K
−$149.78 (-10.8%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 19.8¢5.4K shares
19.8¢→22.5¢
$1.1K
$5.4K
$1.2K
+$144.61 (+13.4%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 88.0¢1.3K shares
88.0¢→87.5¢
$1.1K
$1.3K
$1.1K
−$6.51 (-0.6%)
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 50.5¢2.1K shares
50.5¢→54.5¢
$1.1K
$2.1K
$1.1K
+$83.41 (+7.9%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 56.3¢2.0K shares
56.3¢→56.5¢
$1.1K
$2.0K
$1.1K
+$4.58 (+0.4%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?
Yes 9.1¢1.1K shares
9.1¢→99.6¢
$99.43
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$989.91 (+995.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
No 56.3¢1.5K shares
56.3¢→71.4¢
$844.72
$1.5K
$1.1K
+$226.53 (+26.8%)
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Yes 63.5¢1.7K shares
63.5¢→56.5¢
$1.1K
$1.7K
$988.25
−$122.00 (-11.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
No 32.6¢4.8K shares
32.6¢→20.5¢
$1.6K
$4.8K
$988.05
−$581.25 (-37.0%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
Yes 84.2¢1.2K shares
84.2¢→80.5¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$962.52
−$45.00 (-4.5%)
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 91.9¢987.3 shares
91.9¢→97.4¢
$907.42
$987.27
$961.11
+$53.69 (+5.9%)
US recession by end of 2026?
No 83.1¢1.1K shares
83.1¢→90.5¢
$880.33
$1.1K
$958.64
+$78.31 (+8.9%)
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No 89¢975.3 shares
89¢→97.7¢
$867.99
$975.27
$952.35
+$84.36 (+9.7%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 6.9¢10.1K shares
6.9¢→9.2¢
$693.86
$10.1K
$926.76
+$232.91 (+33.6%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Yes 38¢2.3K shares
38¢→41¢
$855.00
$2.3K
$922.50
+$67.50 (+7.9%)
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
No 0¢918 shares
0¢→98.3¢
$0.00
$917.96
$901.90
+$901.90 (+0.0%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 16.8¢3.0K shares
16.8¢→29.8¢
$496.78
$3.0K
$883.54
+$386.75 (+77.9%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes 15.2¢6.5K shares
15.2¢→13.5¢
$981.12
$6.5K
$870.99
−$110.13 (-11.2%)
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 3.6¢3.4K shares
3.6¢→25.5¢
$121.63
$3.4K
$854.51
+$732.88 (+602.6%)
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 51.3¢2.8K shares
51.3¢→30¢
$1.4K
$2.8K
$825.67
−$585.90 (-41.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
No 0¢824.7 shares
0¢→98.3¢
$0.00
$824.68
$810.25
+$810.25 (+0.0%)
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes 52.4¢1.6K shares
52.4¢→46.5¢
$850.23
$1.6K
$753.81
−$96.42 (-11.3%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Yes 31.4¢3.3K shares
31.4¢→22¢
$1.0K
$3.3K
$727.26
−$311.34 (-30.0%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 63.5¢719 shares
63.5¢→99.8¢
$456.82
$718.96
$717.52
+$260.70 (+57.1%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 20.2¢704.4 shares
20.2¢→100.0¢
$142.14
$704.37
$704.02
+$561.87 (+395.3%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 60.0¢760.3 shares
60.0¢→92.5¢
$456.42
$760.33
$703.31
+$246.89 (+54.1%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 39.1¢2.0K shares
39.1¢→34.5¢
$791.76
$2.0K
$699.42
−$92.34 (-11.7%)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No 75.5¢781.4 shares
75.5¢→85.7¢
$590.27
$781.41
$669.28
+$79.01 (+13.4%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Yes 17.5¢2.5K shares
17.5¢→26¢
$432.47
$2.5K
$642.69
+$210.22 (+48.6%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
No 59.6¢1.3K shares
59.6¢→49.5¢
$746.61
$1.3K
$619.81
−$126.80 (-17.0%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 91.6¢647.7 shares
91.6¢→94.7¢
$593.26
$647.66
$613.01
+$19.76 (+3.3%)
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?
No 79.2¢721.5 shares
79.2¢→81¢
$571.51
$721.51
$584.42
+$12.92 (+2.3%)
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.6¢20.0K shares
0.6¢→2.9¢
$112.98
$20.0K
$570.00
+$457.02 (+404.5%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes 8.0¢6.5K shares
8.0¢→8.5¢
$521.27
$6.5K
$554.29
+$33.02 (+6.3%)
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
No 92.6¢570.2 shares
92.6¢→95.6¢
$528.01
$570.20
$545.11
+$17.11 (+3.2%)
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
Yes 71¢900 shares
71¢→60.5¢
$639.00
$900.00
$544.50
−$94.50 (-14.8%)
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 35.5¢1.2K shares
35.5¢→44.5¢
$432.60
$1.2K
$542.67
+$110.07 (+25.4%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 7.4¢2.5K shares
7.4¢→21.3¢
$183.22
$2.5K
$530.92
+$347.69 (+189.8%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 72.3¢599.2 shares
72.3¢→87.5¢
$433.30
$599.18
$524.28
+$90.98 (+21.0%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 64.5¢837.6 shares
64.5¢→62.5¢
$540.54
$837.59
$523.50
−$17.05 (-3.2%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
No 27.6¢4.9K shares
27.6¢→10.5¢
$1.4K
$4.9K
$519.32
−$847.97 (-62.0%)
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No 94.2¢542.8 shares
94.2¢→95.3¢
$511.20
$542.77
$517.53
+$6.33 (+1.2%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 76¢627.1 shares
76¢→82.5¢
$476.63
$627.14
$517.39
+$40.76 (+8.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 53.0¢773.5 shares
53.0¢→66.5¢
$409.92
$773.50
$514.38
+$104.46 (+25.5%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 52.5¢1.1K shares
52.5¢→46¢
$570.77
$1.1K
$500.36
−$70.41 (-12.3%)
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes 41.5¢763.3 shares
41.5¢→64.0¢
$316.56
$763.34
$488.92
+$172.36 (+54.4%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 67.3¢584.3 shares
67.3¢→82.5¢
$393.28
$584.30
$482.04
+$88.76 (+22.6%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 86.7¢539.1 shares
86.7¢→88.3¢
$467.38
$539.08
$476.28
+$8.89 (+1.9%)
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?
No 81.0¢789.6 shares
81.0¢→60.1¢
$639.22
$789.64
$474.57
−$164.64 (-25.8%)
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Yes 11.0¢10.5K shares
11.0¢→4.5¢
$1.1K
$10.5K
$470.97
−$679.02 (-59.0%)
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Yes 24¢2.5K shares
24¢→18.5¢
$604.26
$2.5K
$465.78
−$138.48 (-22.9%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 33.2¢1.2K shares
33.2¢→39.5¢
$389.30
$1.2K
$462.76
+$73.47 (+18.9%)