Total earnings
$41,939.27
1D
−$253.37
7D
−$1.4K
30D
−$1.2K
90D
$1.0K
Total volume
$10.02M
Predictions
6,528
Positions value
$4.1K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$34.6K
LP+$5.1K
Maker+$2.4K
Yield+$9.57
Fees−$287.77
Share

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Yes 32.0¢979.5 shares
32.0¢→31.5¢
$313.93
$979.46
$308.53
−$5.40 (-1.7%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 28.2¢926.7 shares
28.2¢→30.5¢
$261.87
$926.71
$282.65
+$20.77 (+7.9%)

Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?
No 74.6¢334 shares
74.6¢→76.9¢
$249.16
$334.00
$256.85
+$7.68 (+3.1%)

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No 74.4¢366.9 shares
74.4¢→65¢
$273.16
$366.90
$238.49
−$34.67 (-12.7%)

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
No 26.9¢740.5 shares
26.9¢→30.5¢
$199.11
$740.54
$225.86
+$26.75 (+13.4%)

Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 88.4¢197.2 shares
88.4¢→91.3¢
$174.39
$197.20
$179.94
+$5.55 (+3.2%)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 45.4¢464.4 shares
45.4¢→38.5¢
$210.72
$464.42
$178.80
−$31.92 (-15.1%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No 32.0¢418.3 shares
32.0¢→34.4¢
$134.03
$418.33
$143.69
+$9.67 (+7.2%)

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes 25.2¢912.6 shares
25.2¢→14.0¢
$230.32
$912.62
$127.77
−$102.55 (-44.5%)

Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Yes 19¢657 shares
19¢→18.5¢
$124.84
$657.04
$121.55
−$3.29 (-2.6%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 54.0¢218.4 shares
54.0¢→52.5¢
$117.91
$218.35
$114.63
−$3.28 (-2.8%)

Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?
Yes 35¢300 shares
35¢→37¢
$105.00
$300.00
$111.00
+$6.00 (+5.7%)

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
No 63¢144 shares
63¢→72.5¢
$90.72
$144.00
$104.40
+$13.68 (+15.1%)

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
No 71¢137.8 shares
71¢→72.5¢
$97.85
$137.82
$99.92
+$2.07 (+2.1%)

Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Yes 36.8¢473.3 shares
36.8¢→21¢
$174.34
$473.34
$99.40
−$74.94 (-43.0%)

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Yes 28.8¢717.5 shares
28.8¢→12¢
$206.67
$717.55
$86.11
−$120.57 (-58.3%)

Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
No 67¢119 shares
67¢→70¢
$79.73
$119.00
$83.30
+$3.57 (+4.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?
No 48.4¢145.1 shares
48.4¢→56.5¢
$70.19
$145.14
$82.00
+$11.82 (+16.8%)

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No 85.8¢93 shares
85.8¢→87.1¢
$79.84
$93.00
$80.96
+$1.12 (+1.4%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 29.8¢300 shares
29.8¢→25.5¢
$89.40
$300.00
$76.50
−$12.90 (-14.4%)

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
No 56.0¢174.4 shares
56.0¢→38.5¢
$97.67
$174.40
$67.14
−$30.52 (-31.3%)

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 21.5¢299.5 shares
21.5¢→21.5¢
$64.39
$299.45
$64.38
−$0.01 (-0.0%)

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 18¢299.3 shares
18¢→20.5¢
$53.87
$299.27
$61.35
+$7.48 (+13.9%)

Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Yes 29.3¢255.3 shares
29.3¢→22.5¢
$74.87
$255.29
$57.44
−$17.43 (-23.3%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 68.2¢80.5 shares
68.2¢→65.6¢
$54.88
$80.49
$52.84
−$2.04 (-3.7%)

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 22.5¢300 shares
22.5¢→17.5¢
$67.50
$299.99
$52.50
−$15.00 (-22.2%)

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
No 37.4¢1.2K shares
37.4¢→4¢
$439.46
$1.2K
$46.97
−$392.49 (-89.3%)

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Yes 13.3¢279.1 shares
13.3¢→16.5¢
$36.98
$279.06
$46.05
+$9.06 (+24.5%)

KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles
Hanwha Eagles 52.1¢94.5 shares
52.1¢→45.5¢
$49.20
$94.45
$42.98
−$6.22 (-12.6%)

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
No 16¢687 shares
16¢→5.0¢
$109.96
$687.00
$34.01
−$75.95 (-69.1%)

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 22.4¢137 shares
22.4¢→23.2¢
$30.65
$136.98
$31.71
+$1.06 (+3.5%)

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 8.4¢273.8 shares
8.4¢→11.5¢
$22.99
$273.82
$31.49
+$8.50 (+37.0%)

Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
No 59.5¢31.6 shares
59.5¢→90.5¢
$18.78
$31.59
$28.59
+$9.81 (+52.2%)

Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Yes 20.4¢299.1 shares
20.4¢→9.5¢
$61.14
$299.13
$28.42
−$32.72 (-53.5%)

Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 20.0¢492 shares
20.0¢→5.7¢
$98.48
$492.00
$27.80
−$70.68 (-71.8%)

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Yes 26.0¢299 shares
26.0¢→9¢
$77.70
$299.02
$26.91
−$50.79 (-65.4%)

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Yes 17.6¢344.6 shares
17.6¢→7.2¢
$60.66
$344.59
$24.98
−$35.68 (-58.8%)

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Yes 8.6¢299.9 shares
8.6¢→8¢
$25.74
$299.91
$23.99
−$1.74 (-6.8%)

Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?
No 5.6¢361.8 shares
5.6¢→5.5¢
$20.30
$361.79
$19.90
−$0.40 (-2.0%)

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 24?
Yes 6¢250 shares
6¢→7.5¢
$15.00
$250.00
$18.75
+$3.75 (+25.0%)

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 5.4¢299.6 shares
5.4¢→5.3¢
$16.12
$299.61
$15.88
−$0.24 (-1.5%)

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 25.0¢299.6 shares
25.0¢→4.9¢
$74.99
$299.65
$14.53
−$60.45 (-80.6%)

Will the Democratic Party win the OR-04 House seat?
No 6¢212 shares
6¢→6.5¢
$12.72
$212.00
$13.78
+$1.06 (+8.3%)

Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8.5¢499.8 shares
8.5¢→2.8¢
$42.56
$499.75
$13.74
−$28.82 (-67.7%)

Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes 41¢30 shares
41¢→45.5¢
$12.30
$30.00
$13.65
+$1.35 (+11.0%)

Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 7.1¢299.2 shares
7.1¢→4.5¢
$21.19
$299.17
$13.46
−$7.73 (-36.5%)

Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 5.1¢300 shares
5.1¢→3.6¢
$15.30
$300.00
$10.95
−$4.35 (-28.4%)

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
No 15.3¢723.6 shares
15.3¢→1.4¢
$111.05
$723.59
$10.13
−$100.92 (-90.9%)

Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 5.7¢299.7 shares
5.7¢→3.1¢
$17.21
$299.66
$9.44
−$7.77 (-45.2%)

Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 3.2¢248.3 shares
3.2¢→3.6¢
$7.85
$248.26
$9.06
+$1.21 (+15.4%)

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 25.2¢94.2 shares
25.2¢→9.5¢
$23.73
$94.17
$8.95
−$14.78 (-62.3%)

Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9¢208.3 shares
9¢→3.9¢
$18.75
$208.32
$8.12
−$10.62 (-56.7%)

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 22¢91.4 shares
22¢→8.5¢
$20.10
$91.36
$7.77
−$12.33 (-61.4%)

Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?
No 12¢62.8 shares
12¢→11.5¢
$7.54
$62.83
$7.23
−$0.31 (-4.2%)

Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 5.2¢217.7 shares
5.2¢→3.3¢
$11.41
$217.69
$7.07
−$4.34 (-38.0%)

Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 2.8¢299.8 shares
2.8¢→2.4¢
$8.38
$299.75
$7.04
−$1.34 (-16.0%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Yes 2.8¢299.6 shares
2.8¢→2.4¢
$8.40
$299.59
$7.04
−$1.36 (-16.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?
Yes 47¢14 shares
47¢→43.5¢
$6.58
$14.00
$6.09
−$0.49 (-7.4%)

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Yes 8¢103.6 shares
8¢→5.5¢
$8.29
$103.61
$5.70
−$2.59 (-31.3%)

Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 4.5¢176.8 shares
4.5¢→2.9¢
$7.92
$176.84
$5.22
−$2.70 (-34.1%)

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
Yes 22.2¢24 shares
22.2¢→21¢
$5.33
$24.05
$5.05
−$0.28 (-5.3%)

Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?
Yes 4.3¢112 shares
4.3¢→4.5¢
$4.84
$112.02
$4.98
+$0.14 (+2.9%)

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?
No 7.0¢80 shares
7.0¢→5.5¢
$5.60
$80.00
$4.40
−$1.20 (-21.4%)

Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
Yes 12.0¢300 shares
12.0¢→1.3¢
$36.15
$300.00
$3.75
−$32.40 (-89.6%)

2026 Balance of Power: Other
Yes 0.3¢1.2K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$4.29
$1.2K
$3.75
−$0.54 (-12.6%)

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
Yes 8.7¢299.9 shares
8.7¢→1.1¢
$26.14
$299.88
$3.45
−$22.69 (-86.8%)

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 46.1¢8 shares
46.1¢→41.5¢
$3.70
$8.03
$3.33
−$0.37 (-9.9%)

Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 6¢159.6 shares
6¢→2.1¢
$9.58
$159.61
$3.27
−$6.30 (-65.8%)

Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 1.9¢261 shares
1.9¢→1.3¢
$4.96
$261.00
$3.26
−$1.70 (-34.2%)

Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 3.7¢299.6 shares
3.7¢→1.1¢
$11.23
$299.62
$3.15
−$8.08 (-72.0%)

Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 4.9¢299.4 shares
4.9¢→1.1¢
$14.74
$299.43
$3.14
−$11.59 (-78.7%)

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 0.6¢1.2K shares
0.6¢→0.3¢
$7.08
$1.2K
$3.12
−$3.95 (-55.9%)

Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?
No 21¢12.1 shares
21¢→25.5¢
$2.55
$12.12
$3.09
+$0.55 (+21.4%)

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
Yes 11¢142.7 shares
11¢→2.1¢
$15.70
$142.72
$3.00
−$12.70 (-80.9%)

Will the White River at Indianapolis peak over 20 ft during the August 2026 floods?
No 15¢140 shares
15¢→2.1¢
$21.00
$140.00
$2.87
−$18.13 (-86.3%)

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?
No 8¢41.4 shares
8¢→6.5¢
$3.31
$41.42
$2.69
−$0.62 (-18.7%)

Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 4.5¢171.4 shares
4.5¢→1.6¢
$7.76
$171.41
$2.66
−$5.10 (-65.8%)

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?
Yes 16¢15.1 shares
16¢→17.5¢
$2.42
$15.11
$2.64
+$0.23 (+9.4%)

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Yes 28.7¢25.2 shares
28.7¢→9.5¢
$7.24
$25.21
$2.39
−$4.85 (-66.9%)

Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No 65.3¢1.9 shares
65.3¢→97.7¢
$1.26
$1.93
$1.89
+$0.63 (+49.5%)

Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 3.4¢100.1 shares
3.4¢→1.8¢
$3.40
$100.09
$1.85
−$1.55 (-45.6%)

Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
No 55.0¢3 shares
55.0¢→54.5¢
$1.63
$2.97
$1.62
−$0.01 (-0.9%)

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 3.3¢280 shares
3.3¢→0.5¢
$9.24
$280.00
$1.40
−$7.84 (-84.8%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 90¢1.4 shares
90¢→97.0¢
$1.29
$1.44
$1.39
+$0.10 (+7.7%)

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 23?
No 44.8¢42.8 shares
44.8¢→2.5¢
$19.20
$42.81
$1.07
−$18.13 (-94.4%)

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?
Yes 5.3¢45.7 shares
5.3¢→2.3¢
$2.42
$45.67
$1.03
−$1.39 (-57.6%)

Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 2.2¢96.4 shares
2.2¢→0.9¢
$2.12
$96.41
$0.92
−$1.21 (-56.8%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 10.6¢9.6 shares
10.6¢→9.2¢
$1.02
$9.64
$0.88
−$0.14 (-13.7%)

Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Yes 44.7¢2.4 shares
44.7¢→33.5¢
$1.08
$2.42
$0.81
−$0.27 (-25.1%)

Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 4.7¢88.3 shares
4.7¢→0.9¢
$4.15
$88.34
$0.75
−$3.40 (-81.9%)

Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 1.7¢300 shares
1.7¢→0.3¢
$5.10
$300.00
$0.75
−$4.35 (-85.3%)

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 1.5¢1.2K shares
1.5¢→0.1¢
$18.63
$1.2K
$0.62
−$18.02 (-96.7%)

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?
No 1.6¢9.5 shares
1.6¢→3.5¢
$0.15
$9.48
$0.34
+$0.18 (+121.9%)

Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?
No 21¢2 shares
21¢→16.5¢
$0.42
$2.00
$0.33
−$0.09 (-21.4%)

Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 0.8¢642.3 shares
0.8¢→0.1¢
$5.20
$642.30
$0.32
−$4.88 (-93.8%)

Will the White River at Indianapolis peak between 17 and 20 ft during the August 2026 floods?
Yes 16¢13.3 shares
16¢→1.9¢
$2.13
$13.31
$0.25
−$1.88 (-88.1%)

Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 2¢67 shares
2¢→0.3¢
$1.34
$67.00
$0.17
−$1.17 (-87.5%)

Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 20.3¢280 shares
20.3¢→0.1¢
$56.74
$279.98
$0.14
−$56.60 (-99.8%)

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 1.7¢10.7 shares
1.7¢→1.1¢
$0.18
$10.70
$0.12
−$0.06 (-32.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 23?
Yes 18¢179.2 shares
18¢→0.1¢
$32.26
$179.23
$0.09
−$32.17 (-99.7%)
