Total earnings
$1,297,574.04
1D
−$5.2K
7D
−$30.7K
30D
−$7.3K
90D
$134.8K
Total volume
$142.80M
Predictions
3,207
Positions value
$605.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$1.24M
LP+$52.9K
Maker+$2.4K
Yield+$7.1K
Taker+$309.97
Fees−$8.7K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 48.9¢250.8K shares
48.9¢→64.5¢
$122.6K
$250.8K
$161.7K
+$39.1K (+31.9%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 79.8¢64.4K shares
79.8¢→86.5¢
$51.4K
$64.4K
$55.7K
+$4.3K (+8.4%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 73.8¢47.1K shares
73.8¢→93.5¢
$34.7K
$47.1K
$44.0K
+$9.3K (+26.7%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 80.0¢42.9K shares
80.0¢→86.5¢
$34.3K
$42.9K
$37.1K
+$2.8K (+8.0%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.5¢367.6K shares
4.5¢→7.8¢
$16.5K
$367.6K
$28.9K
+$12.4K (+74.8%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 44.7¢57.0K shares
44.7¢→45.9¢
$25.5K
$57.0K
$26.1K
+$665.22 (+2.6%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 32.0¢85.6K shares
32.0¢→26.6¢
$27.4K
$85.6K
$22.7K
−$4.7K (-17.1%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.9¢473.0K shares
2.9¢→4.5¢
$13.5K
$473.0K
$21.0K
+$7.5K (+55.8%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 23.2¢98.9K shares
23.2¢→20.9¢
$23.0K
$98.9K
$20.7K
−$2.3K (-9.9%)

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
No 98.4¢19.8K shares
98.4¢→97.8¢
$19.5K
$19.8K
$19.4K
−$118.95 (-0.6%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 82.2¢15.7K shares
82.2¢→84.5¢
$12.9K
$15.7K
$13.3K
+$360.82 (+2.8%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 84.0¢14.3K shares
84.0¢→86.5¢
$12.0K
$14.3K
$12.4K
+$363.96 (+3.0%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 36.1¢24.3K shares
36.1¢→45.5¢
$8.8K
$24.3K
$11.1K
+$2.3K (+26.0%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 37.4¢27.1K shares
37.4¢→40.5¢
$10.1K
$27.1K
$11.0K
+$849.22 (+8.4%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 95.7¢9.3K shares
95.7¢→97.2¢
$8.9K
$9.3K
$9.0K
+$134.71 (+1.5%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 73.3¢8.9K shares
73.3¢→91.5¢
$6.5K
$8.9K
$8.2K
+$1.6K (+24.8%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.2¢26.5K shares
19.2¢→27.8¢
$5.1K
$26.5K
$7.4K
+$2.3K (+44.6%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 39.5¢15.8K shares
39.5¢→44.5¢
$6.2K
$15.8K
$7.0K
+$787.18 (+12.6%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 85.8¢5.1K shares
85.8¢→92.2¢
$4.3K
$5.1K
$4.7K
+$320.49 (+7.4%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 55.2¢8.4K shares
55.2¢→54.1¢
$4.6K
$8.4K
$4.5K
−$90.69 (-2.0%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 95.5¢4.5K shares
95.5¢→98.0¢
$4.3K
$4.5K
$4.4K
+$108.64 (+2.6%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 16.3¢34.6K shares
16.3¢→11.7¢
$5.6K
$34.6K
$4.0K
−$1.6K (-28.5%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 38.6¢7.3K shares
38.6¢→45.5¢
$2.8K
$7.3K
$3.3K
+$505.46 (+17.9%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 5.1¢62.9K shares
5.1¢→5.3¢
$3.2K
$62.9K
$3.3K
+$63.87 (+2.0%)

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Yes 60.2¢3.8K shares
60.2¢→86.1¢
$2.3K
$3.8K
$3.2K
+$976.96 (+43.0%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 57.6¢11.9K shares
57.6¢→25.5¢
$6.9K
$11.9K
$3.0K
−$3.8K (-55.8%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 63.7¢3.5K shares
63.7¢→84.5¢
$2.2K
$3.5K
$3.0K
+$732.25 (+32.7%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 97.6¢2.4K shares
97.6¢→97.6¢
$2.4K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$0.01 (+0.0%)

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
No 80.3¢2.7K shares
80.3¢→85.9¢
$2.2K
$2.7K
$2.3K
+$150.03 (+6.9%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 89¢2.7K shares
89¢→83.0¢
$2.4K
$2.7K
$2.2K
−$161.77 (-6.8%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 83.3¢2.2K shares
83.3¢→96.3¢
$1.8K
$2.2K
$2.1K
+$285.82 (+15.6%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 5.6¢21.3K shares
5.6¢→9.3¢
$1.2K
$21.3K
$2.0K
+$796.90 (+67.2%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 11.3¢15.1K shares
11.3¢→13.2¢
$1.7K
$15.1K
$2.0K
+$285.11 (+16.8%)

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes 13.5¢35.2K shares
13.5¢→5.5¢
$4.8K
$35.2K
$1.9K
−$2.8K (-59.4%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 54.2¢2.0K shares
54.2¢→82.3¢
$1.1K
$2.0K
$1.7K
+$564.03 (+51.7%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 50.1¢5.1K shares
50.1¢→30.9¢
$2.6K
$5.1K
$1.6K
−$985.54 (-38.4%)

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.8¢50.0K shares
1.8¢→2.9¢
$908.37
$50.0K
$1.5K
+$565.28 (+62.2%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 32.7¢4.1K shares
32.7¢→34.5¢
$1.4K
$4.1K
$1.4K
+$74.93 (+5.6%)

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes 29.3¢17.0K shares
29.3¢→8¢
$5.0K
$17.0K
$1.4K
−$3.6K (-72.7%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 9.0¢9.6K shares
9.0¢→13.5¢
$864.34
$9.6K
$1.3K
+$428.73 (+49.6%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 20.7¢7.9K shares
20.7¢→15.5¢
$1.6K
$7.9K
$1.2K
−$411.13 (-25.2%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 82.3¢1.5K shares
82.3¢→83.5¢
$1.2K
$1.5K
$1.2K
+$16.94 (+1.4%)

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 79.3¢1.5K shares
79.3¢→76.5¢
$1.2K
$1.5K
$1.1K
−$40.61 (-3.5%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.9¢42.9K shares
1.9¢→2.5¢
$813.38
$42.9K
$1.1K
+$277.31 (+34.1%)

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢111.1K shares
0.8¢→0.9¢
$888.89
$111.1K
$1.1K
+$166.67 (+18.7%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 64.0¢5.8K shares
64.0¢→16.5¢
$3.7K
$5.8K
$963.36
−$2.8K (-74.2%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 67.1¢1.5K shares
67.1¢→59.2¢
$1.0K
$1.5K
$906.18
−$122.47 (-11.9%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 97.8¢900 shares
97.8¢→97.9¢
$880.60
$900.00
$880.65
+$0.05 (+0.0%)

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No 80.7¢866 shares
80.7¢→93.5¢
$698.58
$866.00
$809.71
+$111.13 (+15.9%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢54.7K shares
1.1¢→1.4¢
$623.02
$54.7K
$738.50
+$115.48 (+18.5%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 15.0¢800 shares
15.0¢→83.5¢
$120.00
$800.00
$668.00
+$548.00 (+456.7%)

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 54¢1.1K shares
54¢→59.5¢
$599.94
$1.1K
$661.05
+$61.10 (+10.2%)

Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 98.2¢644 shares
98.2¢→98.5¢
$632.32
$643.99
$634.01
+$1.69 (+0.3%)

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 97.0¢600 shares
97.0¢→98.5¢
$582.20
$600.00
$590.70
+$8.50 (+1.5%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 96.1¢600 shares
96.1¢→97.5¢
$576.40
$600.00
$585.30
+$8.90 (+1.5%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
No 98.4¢577 shares
98.4¢→98.9¢
$567.68
$577.00
$570.36
+$2.69 (+0.5%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 88.8¢600 shares
88.8¢→92.5¢
$532.67
$600.00
$555.00
+$22.33 (+4.2%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 25.1¢1.8K shares
25.1¢→29.8¢
$443.19
$1.8K
$526.80
+$83.61 (+18.9%)

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 92.6¢505.2 shares
92.6¢→99.7¢
$467.83
$505.19
$503.42
+$35.60 (+7.6%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 13.3¢13.4K shares
13.3¢→3.5¢
$1.8K
$13.4K
$463.24
−$1.3K (-74.0%)

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 96.2¢444 shares
96.2¢→99.6¢
$427.13
$444.00
$442.00
+$14.87 (+3.5%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.2¢8.8K shares
4.2¢→4.9¢
$367.50
$8.8K
$428.38
+$60.88 (+16.6%)

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes 39¢5.2K shares
39¢→8¢
$2.0K
$5.2K
$418.73
−$1.6K (-79.5%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 72.3¢600 shares
72.3¢→69.5¢
$434.00
$600.00
$416.94
−$17.06 (-3.9%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.6¢16.7K shares
1.6¢→2.5¢
$267.48
$16.7K
$409.57
+$142.10 (+53.1%)

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
No 86.5¢444 shares
86.5¢→92¢
$384.05
$443.99
$408.47
+$24.42 (+6.4%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 81.3¢422 shares
81.3¢→94.5¢
$343.27
$422.00
$398.79
+$55.52 (+16.2%)

US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Yes 13.9¢4.1K shares
13.9¢→9.5¢
$571.50
$4.1K
$389.76
−$181.74 (-31.8%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 95.4¢422 shares
95.4¢→90.6¢
$402.46
$422.00
$382.33
−$20.12 (-5.0%)

US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Yes 15¢1.6K shares
15¢→24¢
$232.68
$1.6K
$372.29
+$139.61 (+60.0%)

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes 25.0¢1.7K shares
25.0¢→18.5¢
$428.05
$1.7K
$316.19
−$111.86 (-26.1%)

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Yes 69.9¢364 shares
69.9¢→86.5¢
$254.40
$363.99
$314.85
+$60.46 (+23.8%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 64¢333 shares
64¢→92¢
$213.12
$333.00
$306.36
+$93.24 (+43.7%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 15.3¢2.2K shares
15.3¢→12.4¢
$339.97
$2.2K
$276.64
−$63.33 (-18.6%)

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes 21.3¢2.7K shares
21.3¢→10¢
$583.55
$2.7K
$274.31
−$309.24 (-53.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 59.2¢400 shares
59.2¢→67.5¢
$236.99
$399.99
$269.99
+$33.00 (+13.9%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 44.9¢672.9 shares
44.9¢→39.5¢
$302.36
$672.86
$265.78
−$36.57 (-12.1%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 8.4¢1.9K shares
8.4¢→13.5¢
$157.10
$1.9K
$252.59
+$95.49 (+60.8%)

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No 49.7¢298.2 shares
49.7¢→82¢
$148.29
$298.19
$244.52
+$96.23 (+64.9%)

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes 20.0¢2.0K shares
20.0¢→11.5¢
$394.86
$2.0K
$227.04
−$167.82 (-42.5%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 45.5¢444 shares
45.5¢→49¢
$202.02
$443.99
$217.56
+$15.54 (+7.7%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 98.5¢222 shares
98.5¢→97.6¢
$218.67
$222.00
$216.67
−$2.00 (-0.9%)

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No 81¢222 shares
81¢→95.5¢
$179.82
$222.00
$212.01
+$32.19 (+17.9%)

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes 40.4¢1.1K shares
40.4¢→18.5¢
$461.57
$1.1K
$211.11
−$250.46 (-54.3%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 8.8¢1.4K shares
8.8¢→14.8¢
$122.43
$1.4K
$204.25
+$81.82 (+66.8%)

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
No 72.3¢243.6 shares
72.3¢→81.5¢
$176.02
$243.60
$198.51
+$22.49 (+12.8%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢200 shares
92.5¢→96.3¢
$185.00
$200.00
$192.60
+$7.60 (+4.1%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 55.5¢371.1 shares
55.5¢→51.5¢
$206.05
$371.07
$191.10
−$14.94 (-7.3%)

Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
No 90.1¢244 shares
90.1¢→77.8¢
$219.82
$244.00
$189.71
−$30.11 (-13.7%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 30¢222 shares
30¢→83.5¢
$66.60
$221.99
$185.36
+$118.76 (+178.3%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 83.0¢204.4 shares
83.0¢→90.5¢
$169.65
$204.39
$184.98
+$15.33 (+9.0%)

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Yes 9.0¢2.8K shares
9.0¢→6.5¢
$255.01
$2.8K
$184.84
−$70.17 (-27.5%)

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes 71¢300 shares
71¢→60.5¢
$213.00
$300.00
$181.50
−$31.50 (-14.8%)

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
No 47.6¢251.6 shares
47.6¢→72¢
$119.86
$251.57
$181.13
+$61.27 (+51.1%)

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
No 66¢191 shares
66¢→94¢
$126.07
$191.02
$179.56
+$53.49 (+42.4%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes 43.6¢670.8 shares
43.6¢→25.5¢
$292.59
$670.77
$171.05
−$121.54 (-41.5%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes 35¢200 shares
35¢→85.5¢
$70.00
$199.99
$170.99
+$100.99 (+144.3%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
No 13.8¢4.7K shares
13.8¢→3.6¢
$644.68
$4.7K
$167.66
−$477.03 (-74.0%)

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.5¢33.3K shares
0.5¢→0.5¢
$166.66
$33.3K
$166.66
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 87.2¢531.8 shares
87.2¢→30.6¢
$463.63
$531.79
$162.73
−$300.90 (-64.9%)

