Erasmus.

Joined July 2024

Total earnings

$115,229.21

1D

−$352.61

7D

$2.7K

30D

$6.0K

90D

$275.4K

Total volume

$142.03M

Predictions

762

Positions value

$371.0K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$111.4K

LP+$2.7K

Maker+$133.20

Yield+$359.89

Taker+$315.84

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 74.2¢285.2K shares

74.2¢→90.5¢

+$46.5K (+22.0%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 90.5¢74.1K shares

90.5¢→96.7¢

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 82.7¢27.2K shares

82.7¢→87.5¢

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.5¢36.8K shares

−$9.4K (-68.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 18.9¢17.2K shares

18.9¢→21.4¢

+$440.23 (+13.6%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 12.5¢52.7K shares

−$3.2K (-48.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 48.4¢5.1K shares

48.4¢→43.5¢

−$253.66 (-10.2%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48.4¢181.8K shares

−$86.6K (-98.5%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 9¢25.7K shares

−$1.1K (-47.8%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91.0¢1.2K shares

91.0¢→96.7¢

+$65.88 (+6.2%)

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 65.1¢161.9 shares

65.1¢→25.6¢

−$64.05 (-60.7%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 15¢9.6 shares

−$0.05 (-3.3%)

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 42¢10.0K shares

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Yes 27¢2.4K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Yes 18.0¢924.7 shares

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.2¢43.5K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Yes 8.5¢1.4K shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Yes 52.8¢1.8K shares

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Yes 32.8¢11.0K shares

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 2.1¢219.7K shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Yes 62.0¢32.3K shares

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40.3¢1.6K shares

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 7.8¢2.5K shares

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 12¢5.2K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 6.6¢573.7K shares

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 60.0¢1.7K shares

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6¢100.0K shares

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Yes 19¢15 shares

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Yes 8.8¢6.9K shares

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Yes 24.7¢23.7K shares

Bill Belichick engaged in 2025?

Yes 34.2¢460 shares

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Yes 5.4¢4.6K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Yes 10¢3.0K shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 43.7¢404.3K shares

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Yes 27.9¢2.0K shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Yes 4.5¢2.5K shares

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6¢39.3K shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Yes 34.5¢46.6K shares

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Yes 18¢2.1K shares

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Yes 65.1¢2.1K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Yes 0.8¢33.7K shares

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Yes 54.7¢3.3K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 16.5¢203.8K shares

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 22.6¢787.4 shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Yes 48.6¢20.0K shares

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Yes 28.0¢100 shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 21.6¢1.75M shares

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 12.4¢35.0K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Yes 33.6¢16.5K shares

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Yes 42.2¢133.0K shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 15.8¢324.5K shares

Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?

No 83¢10.6K shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 17.0¢326.5K shares

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Yes 20.0¢100 shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 15.7¢5.0K shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 30.7¢25.8K shares

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

Yes 13.2¢4.1K shares

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 41¢6.0K shares

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

No 3¢13.4K shares