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PolyScalping

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

Joined January 2025

Total earnings

$953,171.19
1D
−$9.8K
7D
−$19.0K
30D
−$16.6K
90D
−$43.6K
Total volume
$506.03M
Predictions
45,299
Positions value
$1.24M
Performance
−$173.1K
+$1.05M
+$69.3K
+$8.5K
+$606.04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢300.0K shares
$237.2K
+$87.1K (+58.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
No 96.6¢204.3K shares
$201.3K
+$4.0K (+2.0%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 95.6¢73.3K shares
$70.6K
+$529.24 (+0.8%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50.0¢300.0K shares
$62.9K
−$87.1K (-58.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 88.8¢63.9K shares
$55.3K
−$1.5K (-2.6%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No 80.3¢66.0K shares
$46.5K
−$6.5K (-12.3%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 97.5¢38.8K shares
$37.9K
+$25.73 (+0.1%)
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
No 54.3¢35.3K shares
$26.8K
+$7.7K (+40.0%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
No 95.0¢21.7K shares
$21.6K
+$1.0K (+4.9%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
No 71.0¢24.7K shares
$19.7K
+$2.1K (+12.0%)
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No 76.4¢19.0K shares
$16.6K
+$2.1K (+14.5%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
No 86.8¢18.2K shares
$16.1K
+$305.88 (+1.9%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 44.2¢39.4K shares
$15.2K
−$2.2K (-12.9%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 68.7¢22.2K shares
$14.5K
−$708.70 (-4.7%)
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
No 79.4¢15.0K shares
$10.7K
−$1.3K (-10.5%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No 96.2¢10.0K shares
$9.8K
+$223.85 (+2.3%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 34.3¢25.1K shares
$9.4K
+$790.11 (+9.2%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No 69.5¢14.2K shares
$9.2K
−$717.96 (-7.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 78.9¢12.3K shares
$9.1K
−$600.36 (-6.2%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
No 81.0¢11.4K shares
$8.8K
−$403.72 (-4.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
No 79.6¢12.7K shares
$8.2K
−$1.9K (-19.0%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No 79.9¢9.2K shares
$8.1K
+$794.05 (+10.8%)
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes 77.2¢9.1K shares
$8.0K
+$938.92 (+13.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 63.6¢7.9K shares
$7.1K
+$2.0K (+40.6%)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Yes 44.0¢17.6K shares
$6.8K
−$975.52 (-12.6%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 59.1¢9.2K shares
$6.0K
+$496.56 (+9.1%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 60.7¢12.6K shares
$5.8K
−$1.9K (-24.2%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
No 75.4¢6.3K shares
$5.7K
+$953.52 (+20.1%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
No 88.5¢5.5K shares
$5.2K
+$288.18 (+5.9%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
No 73.7¢5.4K shares
$4.7K
+$694.11 (+17.4%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 70.2¢6.5K shares
$4.4K
−$173.82 (-3.8%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 88.6¢5.0K shares
$4.4K
−$52.50 (-1.2%)
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
No 61.0¢6.0K shares
$4.3K
+$660.01 (+18.0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
No 75.6¢4.4K shares
$4.3K
+$924.37 (+27.5%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
No 83.2¢4.5K shares
$4.1K
+$414.10 (+11.1%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
No 89.4¢5.8K shares
$4.1K
−$1.0K (-20.2%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 81.4¢4.6K shares
$3.8K
+$49.75 (+1.3%)
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
No 85.1¢4.3K shares
$3.7K
+$106.55 (+2.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Yes 87.7¢4.0K shares
$3.7K
+$192.60 (+5.5%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 91.5¢4.0K shares
$3.7K
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No 88.9¢4.0K shares
$3.6K
−$1.32 (-0.0%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
No 87.3¢4.5K shares
$3.6K
−$400.64 (-10.1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
No 70.2¢3.9K shares
$3.5K
+$753.14 (+27.5%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 92.7¢3.7K shares
$3.5K
+$75.84 (+2.2%)
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
No 87.9¢3.9K shares
$3.3K
−$73.11 (-2.2%)
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Yes 71.5¢7.4K shares
$3.2K
−$2.1K (-39.2%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 75.5¢4.0K shares
$3.0K
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 32.7¢10.0K shares
$3.0K
−$288.99 (-8.8%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
No 97.6¢3.0K shares
$2.9K
+$12.00 (+0.4%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 92.7¢3.0K shares
$2.8K
−$4.80 (-0.2%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
No 90.0¢3.2K shares
$2.8K
−$98.94 (-3.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
No 68.3¢4.5K shares
$2.7K
−$352.88 (-11.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Yes 99.5¢2.7K shares
$2.7K
+$12.90 (+0.5%)
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
No 69.2¢4.5K shares
$2.7K
−$388.03 (-12.6%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 78.0¢3.1K shares
$2.6K
+$203.47 (+8.3%)
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
No 91.6¢2.7K shares
$2.5K
+$89.74 (+3.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
No 93.7¢2.6K shares
$2.5K
+$21.83 (+0.9%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No 34.0¢10.0K shares
$2.3K
−$1.0K (-30.9%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
No 86.3¢2.7K shares
$2.3K
+$58.23 (+2.5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
No 61.5¢2.5K shares
$2.3K
+$800.01 (+52.0%)
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
No 88.7¢2.4K shares
$2.2K
+$55.46 (+2.6%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
No 77.4¢3.0K shares
$2.1K
−$144.85 (-6.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 77.1¢2.7K shares
$2.1K
+$9.80 (+0.5%)
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 88.9¢2.4K shares
$2.1K
−$34.27 (-1.6%)
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
No 87.4¢2.2K shares
$2.0K
+$111.08 (+5.8%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
No 47.1¢7.9K shares
$2.0K
−$1.7K (-45.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Yes 98.9¢2.0K shares
$2.0K
+$21.67 (+1.1%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
No 77.4¢2.7K shares
$1.9K
−$190.37 (-9.0%)
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?
No 95¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$35.00 (+1.8%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 72.0¢2.7K shares
$1.9K
−$42.12 (-2.1%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 19.6¢10.3K shares
$1.9K
−$134.53 (-6.7%)
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
No 90.5¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$20.45 (+1.1%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 69.2¢2.1K shares
$1.8K
+$380.91 (+26.4%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Yes 75.7¢2.0K shares
$1.7K
+$195.00 (+12.9%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
No 48.6¢3.0K shares
$1.7K
+$224.46 (+15.3%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 54.0¢2.0K shares
$1.7K
+$589.00 (+54.5%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes 48.3¢3.1K shares
$1.6K
+$131.36 (+8.8%)
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No 81¢2.0K shares
$1.6K
−$30.00 (-1.9%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
No 59.8¢3.0K shares
$1.5K
−$250.00 (-13.9%)
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 78.0¢2.1K shares
$1.5K
−$136.07 (-8.4%)
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 67.8¢2.2K shares
$1.5K
−$30.23 (-2.0%)
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
No 87.7¢1.7K shares
$1.5K
−$11.29 (-0.8%)
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes 85.6¢1.7K shares
$1.5K
−$1.48 (-0.1%)
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
No 79.0¢1.5K shares
$1.4K
+$219.70 (+18.4%)
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Yes 81.5¢1.9K shares
$1.4K
−$170.50 (-11.0%)
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
No 51.9¢2.5K shares
$1.4K
+$40.55 (+3.1%)
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 74.1¢2.0K shares
$1.4K
−$132.35 (-8.9%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 39.0¢4.0K shares
$1.3K
−$242.24 (-15.5%)
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
No 94¢1.4K shares
$1.3K
−$0.69 (-0.1%)
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
No 60.3¢2.3K shares
$1.2K
−$133.04 (-9.7%)
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?
Yes 88.8¢1.5K shares
$1.2K
−$120.11 (-8.8%)
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?
No 65¢2.0K shares
$1.2K
−$100.00 (-7.7%)
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
Yes 64.8¢1.8K shares
$1.2K
+$30.00 (+2.6%)
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?
No 71.9¢1.7K shares
$1.2K
−$23.33 (-1.9%)
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?
Yes 90.6¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$11.50 (+1.0%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
No 78.0¢1.5K shares
$1.2K
+$15.00 (+1.3%)
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No 88.6¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$11.44 (+1.0%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes 11.4¢14.5K shares
$1.2K
−$487.44 (-29.6%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 66.7¢1.7K shares
$1.1K
+$29.99 (+2.7%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 55.0¢2.0K shares
$1.1K
−$10.00 (-0.9%)