Total earnings
$15,352.30
1D
−$501.40
7D
−$763.26
30D
$4.1K
90D
$14.0K
Total volume
$2.25M
Predictions
2,324
Positions value
$12.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$34.2K
LP+$47.8K
Maker+$1.8K
Yield+$1.43
Fees−$20.50
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?
No 86¢712 shares
86¢→85.5¢
$612.32
$712.01
$608.76
−$3.56 (-0.6%)
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Yes 92¢925.7 shares
92¢→62.0¢
$851.63
$925.69
$573.46
−$278.17 (-32.7%)

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
Yes 61¢984.4 shares
61¢→53.5¢
$600.48
$984.40
$526.65
−$73.83 (-12.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?
Yes 92¢530 shares
92¢→93.5¢
$487.60
$530.00
$495.55
+$7.95 (+1.6%)

Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
No 88.9¢797.1 shares
88.9¢→61.2¢
$708.65
$797.13
$487.44
−$221.20 (-31.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?
Yes 83¢450 shares
83¢→83.5¢
$373.50
$450.00
$375.75
+$2.25 (+0.6%)

Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
Yes 33.5¢1.3K shares
33.5¢→24.6¢
$443.88
$1.3K
$325.29
−$118.59 (-26.7%)
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?
Yes 63¢783.3 shares
63¢→36¢
$493.46
$783.28
$281.98
−$211.48 (-42.9%)

Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Yes 46.9¢730 shares
46.9¢→32.6¢
$342.37
$730.00
$237.98
−$104.39 (-30.5%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 42¢683.3 shares
42¢→34.5¢
$286.98
$683.29
$235.67
−$51.32 (-17.9%)

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
Yes 48¢800 shares
48¢→26.5¢
$384.00
$800.00
$212.00
−$172.00 (-44.8%)
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 44¢600 shares
44¢→33.5¢
$264.00
$600.00
$201.00
−$63.00 (-23.9%)

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?
Yes 91.7¢220.7 shares
91.7¢→90.0¢
$202.38
$220.70
$198.52
−$3.86 (-1.9%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No 26¢800 shares
26¢→23.5¢
$208.00
$800.00
$188.00
−$20.00 (-9.6%)

Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 88¢255 shares
88¢→73.5¢
$224.40
$255.00
$187.42
−$36.98 (-16.5%)

Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
No 79¢276.5 shares
79¢→67.5¢
$218.43
$276.49
$186.63
−$31.80 (-14.6%)
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 46¢505.8 shares
46¢→33.5¢
$232.67
$505.80
$169.44
−$63.23 (-27.2%)

Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?
No 58.0¢327.2 shares
58.0¢→51¢
$189.79
$327.22
$166.88
−$22.91 (-12.1%)

Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
No 55.0¢599.8 shares
55.0¢→27.5¢
$329.90
$599.81
$164.95
−$164.95 (-50.0%)

Will Team Liquid Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?
No 57.0¢393.2 shares
57.0¢→39.5¢
$224.13
$393.21
$155.32
−$68.81 (-30.7%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 92.9¢169.8 shares
92.9¢→90.6¢
$157.74
$169.80
$153.92
−$3.82 (-2.4%)

Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?
No 74¢200 shares
74¢→75.5¢
$148.00
$200.00
$151.00
+$3.00 (+2.0%)

Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
No 91.4¢171.1 shares
91.4¢→86.6¢
$156.38
$171.09
$148.16
−$8.21 (-5.3%)
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?
No 79¢178.9 shares
79¢→79¢
$141.29
$178.85
$141.29
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?
Yes 79¢255 shares
79¢→54.5¢
$201.45
$255.00
$138.98
−$62.48 (-31.0%)

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
Yes 87¢160 shares
87¢→86.5¢
$139.20
$160.00
$138.40
−$0.80 (-0.6%)
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 29.0¢576.5 shares
29.0¢→23.5¢
$167.19
$576.52
$135.48
−$31.71 (-19.0%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Yes 27.9¢559.1 shares
27.9¢→23.4¢
$155.98
$559.07
$130.54
−$25.44 (-16.3%)

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
No 92.8¢150 shares
92.8¢→85.9¢
$139.20
$150.00
$128.78
−$10.43 (-7.5%)

Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
No 78¢200 shares
78¢→64¢
$156.00
$200.00
$128.00
−$28.00 (-17.9%)

Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
No 62¢234.2 shares
62¢→54.5¢
$145.19
$234.17
$127.62
−$17.56 (-12.1%)

Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?
Yes 18¢780 shares
18¢→16¢
$140.40
$780.00
$124.80
−$15.60 (-11.1%)
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?
No 73¢160 shares
73¢→73.5¢
$116.80
$160.00
$117.60
+$0.80 (+0.7%)
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?
No 81.3¢160 shares
81.3¢→73.3¢
$130.08
$160.00
$117.20
−$12.88 (-9.9%)
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?
No 70¢200 shares
70¢→58.5¢
$140.00
$200.00
$117.00
−$23.00 (-16.4%)

Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
No 20¢800 shares
20¢→14.5¢
$160.00
$800.00
$116.00
−$44.00 (-27.5%)
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?
No 59¢198.1 shares
59¢→57.0¢
$116.87
$198.09
$112.89
−$3.98 (-3.4%)

Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?
No 93¢120 shares
93¢→93¢
$111.60
$120.00
$111.60
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
No 75¢160 shares
75¢→65.5¢
$120.00
$160.00
$104.80
−$15.20 (-12.7%)

Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
No 64¢180 shares
64¢→57.5¢
$115.20
$180.00
$103.50
−$11.70 (-10.2%)
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?
No 85¢160 shares
85¢→62¢
$136.00
$160.00
$99.20
−$36.80 (-27.1%)
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
No 58.0¢200 shares
58.0¢→47.5¢
$116.00
$200.00
$95.00
−$21.00 (-18.1%)
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?
Yes 28.0¢924.4 shares
28.0¢→10¢
$258.82
$924.36
$92.44
−$166.38 (-64.3%)

Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Yes 65.3¢180 shares
65.3¢→50.2¢
$117.54
$180.00
$90.43
−$27.11 (-23.1%)
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No 92¢100 shares
92¢→88.5¢
$92.00
$100.00
$88.50
−$3.50 (-3.8%)
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?
No 60¢186.3 shares
60¢→47.5¢
$111.76
$186.27
$88.48
−$23.28 (-20.8%)
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?
No 65¢123.9 shares
65¢→71.2¢
$80.54
$123.90
$88.15
+$7.62 (+9.5%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Yes 27.1¢400 shares
27.1¢→21.9¢
$108.40
$400.00
$87.80
−$20.60 (-19.0%)
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Yes 49¢222 shares
49¢→38.5¢
$108.77
$221.98
$85.46
−$23.31 (-21.4%)
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?
No 82¢103.8 shares
82¢→80¢
$85.15
$103.84
$83.07
−$2.08 (-2.4%)

Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Yes 20¢499.1 shares
20¢→16.5¢
$99.82
$499.12
$82.35
−$17.47 (-17.5%)

Will Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 47¢134.3 shares
47¢→60¢
$63.14
$134.33
$80.60
+$17.46 (+27.7%)

Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
No 59¢138.6 shares
59¢→56.5¢
$81.77
$138.60
$78.29
−$3.48 (-4.3%)

Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
No 48¢200 shares
48¢→38.5¢
$96.00
$200.00
$77.00
−$19.00 (-19.8%)
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?
Yes 57.0¢147.3 shares
57.0¢→51.5¢
$83.93
$147.25
$75.83
−$8.10 (-9.6%)

Will Leon Goretzka join Chicago Fire?
No 77¢106 shares
77¢→71¢
$81.62
$106.00
$75.26
−$6.36 (-7.8%)

Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
No 87.8¢78.8 shares
87.8¢→93.2¢
$69.21
$78.82
$73.46
+$4.26 (+6.2%)

Will Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 47¢180 shares
47¢→40¢
$84.60
$180.00
$72.00
−$12.60 (-14.9%)
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 61¢160 shares
61¢→44.5¢
$97.60
$160.00
$71.20
−$26.40 (-27.0%)
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
No 55.0¢160 shares
55.0¢→43.5¢
$88.01
$160.01
$69.60
−$18.40 (-20.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?
No 9.4¢1.0K shares
9.4¢→6.9¢
$94.00
$1.0K
$68.50
−$25.50 (-27.1%)
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?
No 42¢176.5 shares
42¢→38.5¢
$74.12
$176.48
$67.94
−$6.18 (-8.3%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
No 65¢120 shares
65¢→55.5¢
$78.00
$120.00
$66.60
−$11.40 (-14.6%)

Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 82.6¢78.5 shares
82.6¢→84.7¢
$64.87
$78.53
$66.52
+$1.65 (+2.5%)
Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
No 71¢86.1 shares
71¢→75¢
$61.15
$86.12
$64.59
+$3.44 (+5.6%)

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?
No 87¢70 shares
87¢→88.5¢
$60.88
$69.98
$61.93
+$1.05 (+1.7%)
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
No 79¢140 shares
79¢→43.5¢
$110.61
$140.01
$60.90
−$49.70 (-44.9%)
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
No 63¢100 shares
63¢→60.5¢
$63.00
$100.00
$60.50
−$2.50 (-4.0%)

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14.0¢1.3K shares
14.0¢→4.5¢
$182.00
$1.3K
$58.50
−$123.50 (-67.9%)
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
No 45¢400.5 shares
45¢→12.4¢
$180.20
$400.45
$49.86
−$130.35 (-72.3%)
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
Yes 77¢64.9 shares
77¢→73.5¢
$49.97
$64.90
$47.70
−$2.27 (-4.5%)

Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 38¢200 shares
38¢→23.5¢
$76.00
$200.00
$47.00
−$29.00 (-38.2%)

Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?
Yes 30¢389.3 shares
30¢→12¢
$116.80
$389.34
$46.72
−$70.08 (-60.0%)

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
No 82.5¢54.9 shares
82.5¢→84.3¢
$45.28
$54.88
$46.24
+$0.96 (+2.1%)

Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Yes 10¢605 shares
10¢→7.5¢
$60.50
$605.00
$45.38
−$15.13 (-25.0%)
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?
No 34¢200 shares
34¢→22.5¢
$68.00
$200.00
$45.00
−$23.00 (-33.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?
Yes 7.0¢600 shares
7.0¢→7.5¢
$42.00
$600.00
$45.00
+$3.00 (+7.1%)
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?
No 75¢72.3 shares
75¢→62¢
$54.20
$72.27
$44.81
−$9.40 (-17.3%)
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?
No 77.8¢62.3 shares
77.8¢→71.5¢
$48.46
$62.29
$44.54
−$3.92 (-8.1%)

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
No 74¢96.7 shares
74¢→45.4¢
$71.52
$96.65
$43.88
−$27.64 (-38.6%)

Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Yes 69.0¢80 shares
69.0¢→53.5¢
$55.20
$80.00
$42.80
−$12.40 (-22.5%)

Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
No 85¢50 shares
85¢→82.5¢
$42.50
$50.00
$41.25
−$1.25 (-2.9%)

Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 53¢129.5 shares
53¢→30.5¢
$68.61
$129.45
$39.48
−$29.13 (-42.5%)
Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege
No 83¢45 shares
83¢→87.5¢
$37.35
$45.00
$39.38
+$2.02 (+5.4%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
No 75.3¢47.9 shares
75.3¢→78.5¢
$36.04
$47.86
$37.55
+$1.51 (+4.2%)

Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
No 33¢156.1 shares
33¢→23¢
$51.51
$156.10
$35.90
−$15.61 (-30.3%)

Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?
No 55.0¢60 shares
55.0¢→59.5¢
$33.00
$60.00
$35.70
+$2.70 (+8.2%)

Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
No 42.9¢119 shares
42.9¢→28.8¢
$51.05
$119.00
$34.27
−$16.78 (-32.9%)

Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?
Yes 72¢47.6 shares
72¢→71.5¢
$34.30
$47.63
$34.06
−$0.24 (-0.7%)
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?
Yes 35¢174.8 shares
35¢→19.4¢
$61.18
$174.80
$33.91
−$27.27 (-44.6%)
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?
Yes 20¢154.8 shares
20¢→21.5¢
$30.96
$154.82
$33.29
+$2.32 (+7.5%)

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?
Yes 47.5¢200 shares
47.5¢→16.6¢
$95.00
$200.00
$33.20
−$61.80 (-65.1%)

Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
No 44.2¢88.5 shares
44.2¢→37.0¢
$39.12
$88.51
$32.71
−$6.42 (-16.4%)
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
No 91.6¢38.6 shares
91.6¢→84.4¢
$35.36
$38.60
$32.58
−$2.78 (-7.9%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 82¢35.7 shares
82¢→83.5¢
$29.28
$35.71
$29.82
+$0.54 (+1.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?
No 5.2¢1.0K shares
5.2¢→2.9¢
$52.00
$1.0K
$29.50
−$22.50 (-43.3%)

Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
No 35¢113 shares
35¢→26¢
$39.55
$113.00
$29.38
−$10.17 (-25.7%)

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?
Yes 10.1¢1.0K shares
10.1¢→2.9¢
$102.16
$1.0K
$29.33
−$72.82 (-71.3%)

Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in August?
Yes 50.1¢80 shares
50.1¢→36.4¢
$40.08
$80.00
$29.08
−$11.00 (-27.4%)

Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Yes 45¢68.3 shares
45¢→42¢
$30.74
$68.31
$28.69
−$2.05 (-6.7%)

