Total earnings
$287,659.30
1D
−$1.4K
7D
$10.9K
30D
$38.3K
90D
$134.2K
Total volume
$110.57M
Predictions
64,524
Positions value
$264.7K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$244.7K
LP+$494.2K
Maker+$38.1K
Yield+$366.69
Taker+$10.00
Fees−$428.76

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 53.3¢10.8K shares
53.3¢→44.6¢
$5.8K
$10.8K
$4.8K
−$939.29 (-16.3%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.0¢3.9K shares
98.0¢→97.2¢
$3.8K
$3.9K
$3.7K
−$31.44 (-0.8%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 92.5¢4.0K shares
92.5¢→91.5¢
$3.7K
$4.0K
$3.7K
−$40.66 (-1.1%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 74.2¢4.4K shares
74.2¢→73.5¢
$3.2K
$4.4K
$3.2K
−$33.40 (-1.0%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 53.8¢7.1K shares
53.8¢→44.5¢
$3.8K
$7.1K
$3.1K
−$657.32 (-17.3%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No 58.0¢6.1K shares
58.0¢→45.5¢
$3.5K
$6.1K
$2.8K
−$757.58 (-21.5%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 91.0¢3.0K shares
91.0¢→90.6¢
$2.8K
$3.0K
$2.8K
−$10.93 (-0.4%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 97.0¢2.9K shares
97.0¢→96.0¢
$2.8K
$2.9K
$2.7K
−$31.37 (-1.1%)

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 97.8¢2.7K shares
97.8¢→97.5¢
$2.6K
$2.7K
$2.6K
−$9.26 (-0.3%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 52.9¢4.7K shares
52.9¢→47.7¢
$2.5K
$4.7K
$2.2K
−$247.36 (-9.9%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 58.4¢3.9K shares
58.4¢→54.1¢
$2.3K
$3.9K
$2.1K
−$167.47 (-7.3%)

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
No 87.3¢2.4K shares
87.3¢→87.3¢
$2.1K
$2.4K
$2.1K
−$0.47 (-0.0%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 88.4¢2.3K shares
88.4¢→87.5¢
$2.0K
$2.3K
$2.0K
−$19.28 (-0.9%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 91.6¢2.1K shares
91.6¢→92.2¢
$1.9K
$2.1K
$1.9K
+$11.21 (+0.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No 60.8¢3.1K shares
60.8¢→59.5¢
$1.9K
$3.1K
$1.8K
−$40.95 (-2.2%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80.3¢2.3K shares
80.3¢→79.0¢
$1.9K
$2.3K
$1.8K
−$28.96 (-1.6%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94.0¢1.9K shares
94.0¢→94.5¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.8K
+$9.82 (+0.5%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 97.5¢1.8K shares
97.5¢→97.5¢
$1.8K
$1.8K
$1.8K
+$1.67 (+0.1%)

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 97.9¢1.8K shares
97.9¢→97.7¢
$1.7K
$1.8K
$1.7K
−$3.55 (-0.2%)

Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No 97.3¢1.7K shares
97.3¢→96.5¢
$1.7K
$1.7K
$1.7K
−$13.70 (-0.8%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
No 90.9¢1.9K shares
90.9¢→88.5¢
$1.7K
$1.9K
$1.7K
−$45.76 (-2.7%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 88.7¢1.9K shares
88.7¢→88.3¢
$1.6K
$1.9K
$1.6K
−$6.33 (-0.4%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 78.0¢1.6K shares
78.0¢→84.5¢
$1.3K
$1.6K
$1.4K
+$105.61 (+8.3%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 75.1¢1.9K shares
75.1¢→72.3¢
$1.4K
$1.9K
$1.3K
−$54.13 (-3.9%)

Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 99.3¢1.3K shares
99.3¢→99.9¢
$1.3K
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$7.16 (+0.6%)

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 99.1¢1.3K shares
99.1¢→99.4¢
$1.3K
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$3.92 (+0.3%)
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 63.4¢2.0K shares
63.4¢→63.5¢
$1.2K
$2.0K
$1.3K
+$2.20 (+0.2%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 86.4¢1.5K shares
86.4¢→84¢
$1.3K
$1.5K
$1.2K
−$36.08 (-2.8%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 97.3¢1.3K shares
97.3¢→97.5¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.2K
+$3.13 (+0.3%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 94.0¢1.3K shares
94.0¢→93.5¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.2K
−$6.37 (-0.5%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 98.9¢1.1K shares
98.9¢→98.8¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
−$1.37 (-0.1%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 96.0¢1.1K shares
96.0¢→96.3¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$3.70 (+0.3%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 65.0¢1.6K shares
65.0¢→66.5¢
$1.0K
$1.6K
$1.1K
+$24.50 (+2.4%)

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 74.5¢1.4K shares
74.5¢→74.3¢
$1.1K
$1.4K
$1.1K
−$2.92 (-0.3%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 96.3¢1.1K shares
96.3¢→96.5¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$2.74 (+0.3%)

Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 98.7¢1.0K shares
98.7¢→99.0¢
$1.0K
$1.0K
$1.0K
+$2.09 (+0.2%)

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 99.6¢1.0K shares
99.6¢→99.5¢
$1.0K
$1.0K
$1.0K
−$1.01 (-0.1%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No 61.6¢1.6K shares
61.6¢→59.5¢
$1.0K
$1.6K
$979.48
−$34.54 (-3.4%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 84.0¢1.1K shares
84.0¢→83.5¢
$958.32
$1.1K
$951.99
−$6.33 (-0.7%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 46.7¢2.3K shares
46.7¢→39.5¢
$1.1K
$2.3K
$895.48
−$163.78 (-15.5%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 96.0¢905.8 shares
96.0¢→94.8¢
$870.06
$905.84
$858.73
−$11.33 (-1.3%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 39.4¢2.3K shares
39.4¢→35.5¢
$924.36
$2.3K
$832.86
−$91.50 (-9.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?
Yes 92¢901 shares
92¢→91.5¢
$828.92
$901.00
$824.42
−$4.51 (-0.5%)

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 74.3¢990.1 shares
74.3¢→83.0¢
$736.10
$990.06
$821.25
+$85.16 (+11.6%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86¢921.1 shares
86¢→87.5¢
$792.15
$921.11
$805.97
+$13.82 (+1.7%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 71.0¢1.0K shares
71.0¢→78.6¢
$710.67
$1.0K
$787.06
+$76.39 (+10.7%)

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96.1¢810.3 shares
96.1¢→94.5¢
$778.70
$810.30
$766.14
−$12.56 (-1.6%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 66.2¢1.2K shares
66.2¢→65.5¢
$769.02
$1.2K
$760.58
−$8.45 (-1.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?
No 92.7¢800 shares
92.7¢→92.5¢
$741.60
$800.00
$739.60
−$2.00 (-0.3%)

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
No 84.4¢891 shares
84.4¢→80.5¢
$751.79
$891.01
$717.27
−$34.52 (-4.6%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 91.8¢767.3 shares
91.8¢→90.6¢
$704.25
$767.33
$695.59
−$8.67 (-1.2%)

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
No 95.2¢712.6 shares
95.2¢→96.2¢
$678.15
$712.61
$685.18
+$7.02 (+1.0%)

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
No 77.5¢975.9 shares
77.5¢→70¢
$756.69
$975.90
$683.13
−$73.56 (-9.7%)

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.8¢37.3K shares
1.8¢→1.8¢
$687.91
$37.3K
$672.00
−$15.90 (-2.3%)

Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?
No 98.7¢707.5 shares
98.7¢→94.6¢
$698.56
$707.54
$669.34
−$29.23 (-4.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?
No 92¢719 shares
92¢→91.6¢
$661.48
$719.00
$658.60
−$2.88 (-0.4%)

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
No 58.5¢1.2K shares
58.5¢→54.5¢
$698.22
$1.2K
$649.99
−$48.23 (-6.9%)

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 96.9¢675.3 shares
96.9¢→96.2¢
$654.16
$675.29
$649.30
−$4.86 (-0.7%)

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 28.9¢2.8K shares
28.9¢→22.5¢
$815.16
$2.8K
$634.17
−$180.99 (-22.2%)
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Yes 91.0¢1.0K shares
91.0¢→62.0¢
$928.06
$1.0K
$631.89
−$296.17 (-31.9%)

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 94.2¢654 shares
94.2¢→95.3¢
$616.08
$654.02
$623.28
+$7.19 (+1.2%)

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 99.6¢610.4 shares
99.6¢→99.7¢
$607.91
$610.35
$608.22
+$0.31 (+0.1%)

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 50.2¢1.3K shares
50.2¢→45.5¢
$669.00
$1.3K
$606.19
−$62.81 (-9.4%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 62.3¢1.0K shares
62.3¢→59.1¢
$637.03
$1.0K
$603.50
−$33.53 (-5.3%)
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 90¢657.6 shares
90¢→90.5¢
$591.86
$657.62
$595.15
+$3.29 (+0.6%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 88.3¢679.3 shares
88.3¢→87.5¢
$599.87
$679.34
$594.42
−$5.45 (-0.9%)

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Yes 57.5¢1.1K shares
57.5¢→55.0¢
$617.22
$1.1K
$590.76
−$26.46 (-4.3%)

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 92.3¢619.6 shares
92.3¢→93.5¢
$571.63
$619.56
$579.29
+$7.67 (+1.3%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
No 88.0¢634.1 shares
88.0¢→88.5¢
$557.98
$634.07
$561.15
+$3.17 (+0.6%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 66.8¢873.2 shares
66.8¢→62.5¢
$583.33
$873.21
$545.76
−$37.58 (-6.4%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
No 83.7¢653 shares
83.7¢→83.0¢
$546.85
$653.01
$542.32
−$4.53 (-0.8%)

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 63.5¢920.1 shares
63.5¢→58.3¢
$584.61
$920.12
$535.97
−$48.64 (-8.3%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 37.6¢1.5K shares
37.6¢→34.5¢
$579.80
$1.5K
$532.98
−$46.81 (-8.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?
Yes 92¢577 shares
92¢→91.5¢
$530.84
$577.00
$527.96
−$2.88 (-0.5%)

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
No 95.2¢550.7 shares
95.2¢→95.9¢
$524.30
$550.75
$527.89
+$3.59 (+0.7%)

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No 94.4¢600.9 shares
94.4¢→86.7¢
$567.20
$600.94
$521.02
−$46.18 (-8.1%)

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 76.8¢837.1 shares
76.8¢→62¢
$642.65
$837.05
$518.97
−$123.68 (-19.2%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Yes 83.4¢656.9 shares
83.4¢→79¢
$547.59
$656.91
$518.96
−$28.63 (-5.2%)

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 92.0¢549.1 shares
92.0¢→92.8¢
$505.38
$549.06
$509.52
+$4.14 (+0.8%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 33.0¢2.4K shares
33.0¢→21.5¢
$780.65
$2.4K
$508.72
−$271.93 (-34.8%)

Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
No 84.1¢595.6 shares
84.1¢→83.5¢
$500.95
$595.56
$497.29
−$3.65 (-0.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
Yes 90¢555.6 shares
90¢→89.5¢
$499.99
$555.55
$497.22
−$2.78 (-0.6%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 91.0¢529.8 shares
91.0¢→93.0¢
$482.38
$529.79
$492.97
+$10.59 (+2.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Yes 88.0¢555.6 shares
88.0¢→88.5¢
$488.89
$555.55
$491.67
+$2.78 (+0.6%)

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 81.2¢717.9 shares
81.2¢→68¢
$583.21
$717.95
$488.20
−$95.01 (-16.3%)

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No 96.8¢504.5 shares
96.8¢→96.2¢
$488.35
$504.53
$485.36
−$2.99 (-0.6%)

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
No 87.0¢555.6 shares
87.0¢→86¢
$483.33
$555.55
$477.78
−$5.56 (-1.1%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 95.7¢498 shares
95.7¢→95.5¢
$476.62
$498.04
$475.88
−$0.75 (-0.2%)
Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
No 83.6¢568 shares
83.6¢→82.5¢
$475.02
$568.00
$468.60
−$6.42 (-1.4%)

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
Tampa Bay Rays 66¢820 shares
66¢→57.0¢
$541.20
$820.01
$467.32
−$73.88 (-13.7%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 97.3¢475.5 shares
97.3¢→97.5¢
$462.59
$475.53
$463.88
+$1.29 (+0.3%)

Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
No 81.2¢600 shares
81.2¢→76.4¢
$487.20
$600.00
$458.70
−$28.50 (-5.8%)

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?
No 97.6¢462 shares
97.6¢→97.0¢
$450.91
$462.00
$448.37
−$2.54 (-0.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?
Yes 92.0¢484.7 shares
92.0¢→92¢
$445.89
$484.66
$445.89
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
No 93.6¢486.4 shares
93.6¢→90.4¢
$455.30
$486.36
$439.67
−$15.63 (-3.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
No 82.0¢536 shares
82.0¢→81.5¢
$439.50
$535.97
$436.76
−$2.73 (-0.6%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 73.8¢634.1 shares
73.8¢→67¢
$467.88
$634.07
$424.83
−$43.05 (-9.2%)

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
No 69.7¢609.5 shares
69.7¢→69.0¢
$424.58
$609.50
$420.49
−$4.09 (-1.0%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 96.4¢435.7 shares
96.4¢→96.2¢
$420.01
$435.70
$418.93
−$1.09 (-0.3%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
No 98.2¢422.1 shares
98.2¢→99.0¢
$414.39
$422.05
$417.62
+$3.23 (+0.8%)

