Haradwaith

Joined November 2024

Total earnings

$287,659.30
1D
−$1.4K
7D
$10.9K
30D
$38.3K
90D
$134.2K
Total volume
$110.57M
Predictions
64,524
Positions value
$264.7K
Performance
−$244.7K
+$494.2K
+$38.1K
+$366.69
+$10.00
$428.76
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 53.3¢10.8K shares
$4.8K
−$939.29 (-16.3%)
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.0¢3.9K shares
$3.7K
−$31.44 (-0.8%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 92.5¢4.0K shares
$3.7K
−$40.66 (-1.1%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 74.2¢4.4K shares
$3.2K
−$33.40 (-1.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 53.8¢7.1K shares
$3.1K
−$657.32 (-17.3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No 58.0¢6.1K shares
$2.8K
−$757.58 (-21.5%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 91.0¢3.0K shares
$2.8K
−$10.93 (-0.4%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 97.0¢2.9K shares
$2.7K
−$31.37 (-1.1%)
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 97.8¢2.7K shares
$2.6K
−$9.26 (-0.3%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 52.9¢4.7K shares
$2.2K
−$247.36 (-9.9%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 58.4¢3.9K shares
$2.1K
−$167.47 (-7.3%)
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
No 87.3¢2.4K shares
$2.1K
−$0.47 (-0.0%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 88.4¢2.3K shares
$2.0K
−$19.28 (-0.9%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 91.6¢2.1K shares
$1.9K
+$11.21 (+0.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No 60.8¢3.1K shares
$1.8K
−$40.95 (-2.2%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80.3¢2.3K shares
$1.8K
−$28.96 (-1.6%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94.0¢1.9K shares
$1.8K
+$9.82 (+0.5%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 97.5¢1.8K shares
$1.8K
+$1.67 (+0.1%)
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 97.9¢1.8K shares
$1.7K
−$3.55 (-0.2%)
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No 97.3¢1.7K shares
$1.7K
−$13.70 (-0.8%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
No 90.9¢1.9K shares
$1.7K
−$45.76 (-2.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 88.7¢1.9K shares
$1.6K
−$6.33 (-0.4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 78.0¢1.6K shares
$1.4K
+$105.61 (+8.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 75.1¢1.9K shares
$1.3K
−$54.13 (-3.9%)
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 99.3¢1.3K shares
$1.3K
+$7.16 (+0.6%)
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 99.1¢1.3K shares
$1.3K
+$3.92 (+0.3%)
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 63.4¢2.0K shares
$1.3K
+$2.20 (+0.2%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 86.4¢1.5K shares
$1.2K
−$36.08 (-2.8%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 97.3¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$3.13 (+0.3%)
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 94.0¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
−$6.37 (-0.5%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 98.9¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
−$1.37 (-0.1%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 96.0¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$3.70 (+0.3%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 65.0¢1.6K shares
$1.1K
+$24.50 (+2.4%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 74.5¢1.4K shares
$1.1K
−$2.92 (-0.3%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 96.3¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$2.74 (+0.3%)
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 98.7¢1.0K shares
$1.0K
+$2.09 (+0.2%)
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 99.6¢1.0K shares
$1.0K
−$1.01 (-0.1%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No 61.6¢1.6K shares
$979.48
−$34.54 (-3.4%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 84.0¢1.1K shares
$951.99
−$6.33 (-0.7%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 46.7¢2.3K shares
$895.48
−$163.78 (-15.5%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 96.0¢905.8 shares
$858.73
−$11.33 (-1.3%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 39.4¢2.3K shares
$832.86
−$91.50 (-9.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?
Yes 92¢901 shares
$824.42
−$4.51 (-0.5%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 74.3¢990.1 shares
$821.25
+$85.16 (+11.6%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86¢921.1 shares
$805.97
+$13.82 (+1.7%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 71.0¢1.0K shares
$787.06
+$76.39 (+10.7%)
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96.1¢810.3 shares
$766.14
−$12.56 (-1.6%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 66.2¢1.2K shares
$760.58
−$8.45 (-1.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?
No 92.7¢800 shares
$739.60
−$2.00 (-0.3%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
No 84.4¢891 shares
$717.27
−$34.52 (-4.6%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 91.8¢767.3 shares
$695.59
−$8.67 (-1.2%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
No 95.2¢712.6 shares
$685.18
+$7.02 (+1.0%)
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
No 77.5¢975.9 shares
$683.13
−$73.56 (-9.7%)
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.8¢37.3K shares
$672.00
−$15.90 (-2.3%)
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?
No 98.7¢707.5 shares
$669.34
−$29.23 (-4.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?
No 92¢719 shares
$658.60
−$2.88 (-0.4%)
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
No 58.5¢1.2K shares
$649.99
−$48.23 (-6.9%)
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 96.9¢675.3 shares
$649.30
−$4.86 (-0.7%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 28.9¢2.8K shares
$634.17
−$180.99 (-22.2%)
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Yes 91.0¢1.0K shares
$631.89
−$296.17 (-31.9%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 94.2¢654 shares
$623.28
+$7.19 (+1.2%)
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 99.6¢610.4 shares
$608.22
+$0.31 (+0.1%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 50.2¢1.3K shares
$606.19
−$62.81 (-9.4%)
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 62.3¢1.0K shares
$603.50
−$33.53 (-5.3%)
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 90¢657.6 shares
$595.15
+$3.29 (+0.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 88.3¢679.3 shares
$594.42
−$5.45 (-0.9%)
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Yes 57.5¢1.1K shares
$590.76
−$26.46 (-4.3%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 92.3¢619.6 shares
$579.29
+$7.67 (+1.3%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
No 88.0¢634.1 shares
$561.15
+$3.17 (+0.6%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 66.8¢873.2 shares
$545.76
−$37.58 (-6.4%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
No 83.7¢653 shares
$542.32
−$4.53 (-0.8%)
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 63.5¢920.1 shares
$535.97
−$48.64 (-8.3%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 37.6¢1.5K shares
$532.98
−$46.81 (-8.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?
Yes 92¢577 shares
$527.96
−$2.88 (-0.5%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
No 95.2¢550.7 shares
$527.89
+$3.59 (+0.7%)
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No 94.4¢600.9 shares
$521.02
−$46.18 (-8.1%)
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 76.8¢837.1 shares
$518.97
−$123.68 (-19.2%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Yes 83.4¢656.9 shares
$518.96
−$28.63 (-5.2%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 92.0¢549.1 shares
$509.52
+$4.14 (+0.8%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 33.0¢2.4K shares
$508.72
−$271.93 (-34.8%)
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
No 84.1¢595.6 shares
$497.29
−$3.65 (-0.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
Yes 90¢555.6 shares
$497.22
−$2.78 (-0.6%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 91.0¢529.8 shares
$492.97
+$10.59 (+2.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Yes 88.0¢555.6 shares
$491.67
+$2.78 (+0.6%)
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 81.2¢717.9 shares
$488.20
−$95.01 (-16.3%)
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No 96.8¢504.5 shares
$485.36
−$2.99 (-0.6%)
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
No 87.0¢555.6 shares
$477.78
−$5.56 (-1.1%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 95.7¢498 shares
$475.88
−$0.75 (-0.2%)
Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
No 83.6¢568 shares
$468.60
−$6.42 (-1.4%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
Tampa Bay Rays 66¢820 shares
$467.32
−$73.88 (-13.7%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 97.3¢475.5 shares
$463.88
+$1.29 (+0.3%)
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
No 81.2¢600 shares
$458.70
−$28.50 (-5.8%)
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?
No 97.6¢462 shares
$448.37
−$2.54 (-0.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?
Yes 92.0¢484.7 shares
$445.89
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
No 93.6¢486.4 shares
$439.67
−$15.63 (-3.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
No 82.0¢536 shares
$436.76
−$2.73 (-0.6%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 73.8¢634.1 shares
$424.83
−$43.05 (-9.2%)
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
No 69.7¢609.5 shares
$420.49
−$4.09 (-1.0%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 96.4¢435.7 shares
$418.93
−$1.09 (-0.3%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
No 98.2¢422.1 shares
$417.62
+$3.23 (+0.8%)