Total earnings
$1,615,176.84
1D
$1.0K
7D
$2.2K
30D
−$196.0K
90D
$82.0K
Total volume
$516.10M
Predictions
4,379
Positions value
$677.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$1.49M
LP+$97.7K
Maker+$13.4K
Yield+$17.3K
Referral+$47.73
Taker+$414.06
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 50¢560.0K shares
50¢→54.1¢
$280.0K
$560.0K
$303.2K
+$23.2K (+8.3%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢560.0K shares
50¢→45.9¢
$280.0K
$560.0K
$256.8K
−$23.2K (-8.3%)
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No 81.3¢24.8K shares
81.3¢→85¢
$20.1K
$24.8K
$21.0K
+$902.99 (+4.5%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76.7¢13.6K shares
76.7¢→84.5¢
$10.5K
$13.6K
$11.5K
+$1.1K (+10.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 99¢11.1K shares
99¢→98.8¢
$11.0K
$11.1K
$11.0K
−$27.78 (-0.3%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 91¢10.8K shares
91¢→93.5¢
$9.8K
$10.8K
$10.1K
+$269.42 (+2.7%)
New pandemic in 2026?
No 87.6¢7.8K shares
87.6¢→93.5¢
$6.8K
$7.8K
$7.3K
+$461.08 (+6.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 46.1¢10.5K shares
46.1¢→54.5¢
$4.9K
$10.5K
$5.7K
+$882.91 (+18.2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93.2¢4.1K shares
93.2¢→96.2¢
$3.8K
$4.1K
$4.0K
+$121.02 (+3.2%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 44.4¢6.1K shares
44.4¢→64.5¢
$2.7K
$6.1K
$3.9K
+$1.2K (+45.1%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 91.0¢3.2K shares
91.0¢→96.5¢
$2.9K
$3.2K
$3.1K
+$178.49 (+6.1%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 15.7¢22.3K shares
15.7¢→13.5¢
$3.5K
$22.3K
$3.0K
−$491.92 (-14.0%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 64.3¢3.3K shares
64.3¢→78.6¢
$2.1K
$3.3K
$2.6K
+$479.39 (+22.4%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 36.0¢6.8K shares
36.0¢→37.5¢
$2.5K
$6.8K
$2.6K
+$99.77 (+4.1%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 26.3¢4.0K shares
26.3¢→63.5¢
$1.1K
$4.0K
$2.5K
+$1.5K (+141.1%)
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢432.2K shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$3.2K
$432.2K
$2.4K
−$818.64 (-25.6%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 96.4¢2.2K shares
96.4¢→96.0¢
$2.1K
$2.2K
$2.1K
−$10.00 (-0.5%)
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No 92.0¢1.7K shares
92.0¢→94.5¢
$1.5K
$1.7K
$1.6K
+$41.75 (+2.7%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Yes 6.5¢26.3K shares
6.5¢→5.5¢
$1.7K
$26.3K
$1.4K
−$261.29 (-15.3%)
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 89.5¢1.4K shares
89.5¢→95.3¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$82.38 (+6.5%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 23.9¢3.1K shares
23.9¢→40.5¢
$739.51
$3.1K
$1.3K
+$510.73 (+69.1%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 55.0¢2.2K shares
55.0¢→54.5¢
$1.2K
$2.2K
$1.2K
−$11.19 (-0.9%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
No 98¢1.1K shares
98¢→98.9¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$9.57 (+0.9%)
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Yes 40.5¢5.2K shares
40.5¢→20.4¢
$2.1K
$5.2K
$1.1K
−$1.0K (-49.5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 87¢1.2K shares
87¢→86.5¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$1.0K
−$6.02 (-0.6%)
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No 75.9¢1.1K shares
75.9¢→87.5¢
$859.04
$1.1K
$989.72
+$130.68 (+15.2%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 58.0¢1.1K shares
58.0¢→82.5¢
$644.38
$1.1K
$916.57
+$272.19 (+42.2%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 58.8¢2.0K shares
58.8¢→44.6¢
$1.2K
$2.0K
$908.22
−$290.18 (-24.2%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 70.5¢967.5 shares
70.5¢→84.5¢
$682.07
$967.47
$817.52
+$135.45 (+19.9%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 81.5¢843.5 shares
81.5¢→96.8¢
$687.13
$843.46
$816.05
+$128.92 (+18.8%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 6.5¢4.4K shares
6.5¢→16.1¢
$288.86
$4.4K
$713.26
+$424.40 (+146.9%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Yes 7.6¢19.2K shares
7.6¢→3.7¢
$1.5K
$19.2K
$708.99
−$758.33 (-51.7%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No 70.0¢859.3 shares
70.0¢→81.5¢
$601.51
$859.31
$700.25
+$98.74 (+16.4%)
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 95.7¢710 shares
95.7¢→97.2¢
$679.48
$710.01
$689.77
+$10.30 (+1.5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 18.0¢2.2K shares
18.0¢→29.5¢
$400.30
$2.2K
$656.08
+$255.78 (+63.9%)
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
No 26.4¢2.9K shares
26.4¢→21.5¢
$754.07
$2.9K
$614.40
−$139.66 (-18.5%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Yes 34.5¢6.3K shares
34.5¢→9.5¢
$2.2K
$6.3K
$599.35
−$1.6K (-72.5%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 27.3¢3.5K shares
27.3¢→15.4¢
$952.81
$3.5K
$539.77
−$413.03 (-43.3%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes 18.8¢3.4K shares
18.8¢→12.5¢
$645.27
$3.4K
$428.52
−$216.75 (-33.6%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 51.0¢444 shares
51.0¢→93.5¢
$226.44
$444.00
$415.14
+$188.70 (+83.3%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 38.0¢535 shares
38.0¢→74.5¢
$203.20
$535.00
$398.58
+$195.38 (+96.1%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes 16¢2.7K shares
16¢→13.5¢
$430.86
$2.7K
$363.54
−$67.32 (-15.6%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 1.6¢20.1K shares
1.6¢→1.3¢
$321.37
$20.1K
$251.07
−$70.30 (-21.9%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 27¢1.0K shares
27¢→24.5¢
$273.74
$1.0K
$248.40
−$25.35 (-9.3%)
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 0.3¢54.9K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$164.81
$54.9K
$247.21
+$82.40 (+50.0%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 62.9¢319 shares
62.9¢→74.5¢
$200.71
$319.01
$237.66
+$36.95 (+18.4%)
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 0.8¢8.9K shares
0.8¢→2.5¢
$71.10
$8.9K
$225.75
+$154.65 (+217.5%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 86.8¢211.2 shares
86.8¢→94.7¢
$183.28
$211.15
$199.85
+$16.58 (+9.0%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 5.6¢2.5K shares
5.6¢→7.8¢
$140.00
$2.5K
$196.25
+$56.25 (+40.2%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 9.5¢2.1K shares
9.5¢→9.2¢
$201.85
$2.1K
$193.71
−$8.14 (-4.0%)
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢20.3K shares
0.8¢→0.9¢
$169.28
$20.3K
$172.66
+$3.37 (+2.0%)
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 0.3¢62.5K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$187.57
$62.5K
$156.31
−$31.26 (-16.7%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 62.0¢204.4 shares
62.0¢→67.5¢
$126.70
$204.36
$137.94
+$11.24 (+8.9%)
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 0.3¢44.4K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$133.33
$44.4K
$111.11
−$22.22 (-16.7%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 30¢120.7 shares
30¢→83.5¢
$36.21
$120.69
$100.77
+$64.57 (+178.3%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 23¢111 shares
23¢→82.5¢
$25.53
$111.01
$91.58
+$66.05 (+258.7%)
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.2¢9.3K shares
1.2¢→0.9¢
$111.49
$9.3K
$88.00
−$23.49 (-21.1%)
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
Yes 29.6¢395.3 shares
29.6¢→21.3¢
$116.88
$395.33
$84.20
−$32.67 (-28.0%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Yes 22¢3.4K shares
22¢→2.5¢
$742.60
$3.4K
$82.70
−$659.90 (-88.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 33¢490.7 shares
33¢→16.5¢
$161.94
$490.71
$80.97
−$80.97 (-50.0%)
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 2.6¢4.4K shares
2.6¢→1.7¢
$117.75
$4.4K
$75.55
−$42.20 (-35.8%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 15¢495.3 shares
15¢→13.5¢
$74.29
$495.29
$66.86
−$7.43 (-10.0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Yes 3.3¢2.2K shares
3.3¢→2.1¢
$73.33
$2.2K
$45.55
−$27.78 (-37.9%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
Yes 7.0¢1.2K shares
7.0¢→3.5¢
$82.76
$1.2K
$40.79
−$41.97 (-50.7%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes 26.3¢641.4 shares
26.3¢→5.5¢
$168.37
$641.42
$35.28
−$133.10 (-79.0%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes 16¢324.9 shares
16¢→10.5¢
$51.98
$324.87
$34.11
−$17.87 (-34.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
No 34¢249.6 shares
34¢→13.5¢
$84.87
$249.61
$33.70
−$51.17 (-60.3%)
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Yes 12.9¢391.1 shares
12.9¢→4.5¢
$50.64
$391.12
$17.80
−$32.84 (-64.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes 69.0¢9.9 shares
69.0¢→86.5¢
$6.82
$9.89
$8.55
+$1.73 (+25.4%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
Yes 5.0¢2.5K shares
5.0¢→0.3¢
$122.25
$2.5K
$7.37
−$114.88 (-94.0%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 38¢20 shares
38¢→34.5¢
$7.60
$20.00
$6.91
−$0.69 (-9.1%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 53.4¢18.7 shares
53.4¢→28.6¢
$9.98
$18.69
$5.35
−$4.63 (-46.4%)
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Yes 20¢1.1K shares
20¢→0.4¢
$219.14
$1.1K
$4.93
−$214.21 (-97.8%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Yes 6¢18.5 shares
6¢→4.5¢
$1.11
$18.46
$0.83
−$0.28 (-25.0%)
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Yes 44¢23.3 shares
44¢→2.2¢
$10.26
$23.31
$0.51
−$9.74 (-95.0%)
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 0.5¢9 shares
0.5¢→0.7¢
$0.05
$9.00
$0.06
+$0.01 (+30.0%)
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢124.5K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$2.5K
$124.5K
Lost
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 1.7¢211.8K shares
1.7¢→0¢
$3.5K
$211.8K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
No 22.9¢595.3 shares
22.9¢→0¢
$136.25
$595.27
Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Yes 3.9¢90.7 shares
3.9¢→0¢
$3.54
$90.70
Lost
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 2.1¢44.9K shares
2.1¢→0¢
$959.29
$44.9K
Lost
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 1.7¢11.1K shares
1.7¢→0¢
$185.18
$11.1K
Lost
Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 2.4¢27.5K shares
2.4¢→0¢
$671.53
$27.5K
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 24.6¢717.4 shares
24.6¢→0¢
$176.33
$717.45
Lost
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢124.5K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$2.5K
$124.5K
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.0¢74.9K shares
20.0¢→0¢
$15.0K
$74.9K
Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 34.4¢362.5K shares
34.4¢→0¢
$124.7K
$362.5K
Lost
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 2.4¢27.5K shares
2.4¢→0¢
$671.53
$27.5K
Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No 84¢101.7 shares
84¢→0¢
$85.43
$101.71
Lost
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Yes 3.3¢137.1 shares
3.3¢→0¢
$4.47
$137.08
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢4.9K shares
20¢→0¢
$981.27
$4.9K
Lost
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 1.7¢467.4K shares
1.7¢→0¢
$7.8K
$467.4K
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Yes 5.6¢963.2 shares
5.6¢→0¢
$54.35
$963.24
Lost
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 6.7¢7.9K shares
6.7¢→0¢
$523.70
$7.9K
Lost
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 1.7¢467.4K shares
1.7¢→0¢
$7.8K
$467.4K
Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes 26.5¢3 shares
26.5¢→0¢
$0.79
$3.00
Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
No 20.3¢2.6K shares
20.3¢→0¢
$526.97
$2.6K
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?
Yes 11.1¢7.7K shares
11.1¢→0¢
$850.20
$7.7K
Lost
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 17.5¢46.8K shares
17.5¢→0¢
$8.2K
$46.8K
Lost
Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 2.4¢27.5K shares
2.4¢→0¢
$671.53
$27.5K
Lost