Total earnings
$92,419.48
1D
$93.60
7D
$307.00
30D
$1.4K
90D
$147.55
Total volume
$11.13M
Predictions
11,965
Positions value
$9.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$15.4K
LP+$107.9K
Maker+$184.04
Yield+$11.04
Taker+$14.54
Fees−$331.12

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 88¢399 shares
88¢→96.3¢
$351.10
$398.98
$384.02
+$32.92 (+9.4%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 92.2¢270 shares
92.2¢→97.7¢
$248.94
$270.00
$263.66
+$14.71 (+5.9%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
No 90.3¢257.7 shares
90.3¢→99.7¢
$232.73
$257.73
$256.96
+$24.23 (+10.4%)

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?
No 92.5¢300 shares
92.5¢→84.5¢
$277.50
$300.00
$253.50
−$24.00 (-8.6%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Yes 90¢260 shares
90¢→92.5¢
$234.00
$260.00
$240.50
+$6.50 (+2.8%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 92¢260 shares
92¢→89.5¢
$239.20
$260.00
$232.70
−$6.50 (-2.7%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 90¢260 shares
90¢→87¢
$234.00
$260.00
$226.20
−$7.80 (-3.3%)
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?
No 92.4¢234.7 shares
92.4¢→95.5¢
$216.90
$234.73
$224.17
+$7.27 (+3.4%)

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
No 89.1¢209.2 shares
89.1¢→95.8¢
$186.32
$209.18
$200.39
+$14.08 (+7.6%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No 90.8¢200 shares
90.8¢→98.5¢
$181.60
$200.00
$196.90
+$15.30 (+8.4%)

Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 90.3¢190 shares
90.3¢→99.9¢
$171.65
$190.00
$189.81
+$18.16 (+10.6%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
No 91.8¢180 shares
91.8¢→86.9¢
$165.30
$180.00
$156.33
−$8.97 (-5.4%)

Will Kamu Kirk be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?
No 94.7¢150 shares
94.7¢→99.5¢
$142.05
$150.00
$149.18
+$7.13 (+5.0%)
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?
No 91¢164.1 shares
91¢→90.5¢
$149.35
$164.12
$148.53
−$0.82 (-0.5%)
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?
No 91¢150 shares
91¢→97.0¢
$136.50
$150.00
$145.58
+$9.07 (+6.6%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 72.5¢200.2 shares
72.5¢→69.5¢
$145.18
$200.18
$139.11
−$6.07 (-4.2%)

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?
No 89¢150 shares
89¢→90.5¢
$133.50
$150.00
$135.75
+$2.25 (+1.7%)

Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?
No 94¢150 shares
94¢→87.5¢
$141.00
$150.00
$131.25
−$9.75 (-6.9%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by August 31, 2026?
No 95¢130 shares
95¢→95.5¢
$123.50
$130.00
$124.15
+$0.65 (+0.5%)

Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 89¢150 shares
89¢→77¢
$133.50
$150.00
$115.50
−$18.00 (-13.5%)
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
Yes 91¢130 shares
91¢→82.5¢
$118.30
$130.00
$107.25
−$11.05 (-9.3%)

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Yes 91¢110 shares
91¢→96.5¢
$100.10
$110.00
$106.21
+$6.10 (+6.1%)
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?
Yes 92¢106.1 shares
92¢→96.9¢
$97.60
$106.09
$102.80
+$5.20 (+5.3%)

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 90.8¢100 shares
90.8¢→99.1¢
$90.80
$100.00
$99.10
+$8.30 (+9.1%)

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 90¢100 shares
90¢→98.3¢
$90.00
$100.00
$98.30
+$8.30 (+9.2%)

Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 93¢100 shares
93¢→96.2¢
$93.00
$100.00
$96.15
+$3.15 (+3.4%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026?
No 92¢106 shares
92¢→87¢
$97.52
$106.00
$92.22
−$5.30 (-5.4%)

Will Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?
No 89¢90.3 shares
89¢→98.8¢
$80.38
$90.31
$89.23
+$8.85 (+11.0%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 92.7¢87 shares
92.7¢→95.2¢
$80.68
$87.00
$82.78
+$2.10 (+2.6%)
Will Jamie Joyce win the CA-12 House seat?
No 91¢85 shares
91¢→95¢
$77.35
$85.00
$80.75
+$3.40 (+4.4%)
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
No 88¢240.5 shares
88¢→32¢
$211.64
$240.50
$76.96
−$134.68 (-63.6%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026?
No 92¢130 shares
92¢→59¢
$119.60
$130.00
$76.70
−$42.90 (-35.9%)
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Yes 92.3¢120 shares
92.3¢→62.0¢
$110.82
$120.00
$74.34
−$36.48 (-32.9%)
Will "The Pitt" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
No 91.6¢72.3 shares
91.6¢→99.6¢
$66.21
$72.29
$72.00
+$5.79 (+8.7%)

Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 91.4¢73 shares
91.4¢→97.4¢
$66.75
$73.00
$71.07
+$4.32 (+6.5%)

Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
No 91.7¢75.9 shares
91.7¢→93.3¢
$69.58
$75.86
$70.74
+$1.16 (+1.7%)
Will "Pluribus" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?
No 90¢65 shares
90¢→99.9¢
$58.50
$65.00
$64.90
+$6.40 (+10.9%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Yes 92¢65 shares
92¢→99.7¢
$59.80
$65.00
$64.81
+$5.01 (+8.4%)
Will "Widow's Bay" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?
No 88¢65 shares
88¢→98.8¢
$57.20
$65.00
$64.22
+$7.02 (+12.3%)

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?
No 97¢65 shares
97¢→97.8¢
$63.05
$65.00
$63.57
+$0.52 (+0.8%)

Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 89¢65 shares
89¢→97.6¢
$57.85
$65.00
$63.44
+$5.59 (+9.7%)
Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?
Yes 90¢65 shares
90¢→96.3¢
$58.50
$65.00
$62.56
+$4.06 (+6.9%)

Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in August?
No 93¢65 shares
93¢→96¢
$60.45
$65.00
$62.40
+$1.95 (+3.2%)

Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 90¢65 shares
90¢→95.8¢
$58.50
$65.00
$62.24
+$3.74 (+6.4%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by August 31, 2026?
No 92¢65 shares
92¢→94.5¢
$59.80
$65.00
$61.43
+$1.62 (+2.7%)
Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?
Yes 92¢65 shares
92¢→94.5¢
$59.80
$65.00
$61.43
+$1.62 (+2.7%)
Will Tim Wilkins be the FL-11 Republican nominee?
No 90¢65 shares
90¢→94¢
$58.50
$65.00
$61.10
+$2.60 (+4.4%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
No 92¢65 shares
92¢→93.8¢
$59.80
$65.00
$60.94
+$1.14 (+1.9%)
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?
No 92¢65 shares
92¢→93.5¢
$59.80
$65.00
$60.78
+$0.97 (+1.6%)
Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 94¢65 shares
94¢→93.3¢
$61.10
$65.00
$60.68
−$0.42 (-0.7%)
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?
No 92¢65 shares
92¢→93¢
$59.80
$65.00
$60.45
+$0.65 (+1.1%)
Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
No 90.1¢60 shares
90.1¢→99.7¢
$54.06
$60.00
$59.79
+$5.73 (+10.6%)

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
Yes 89¢65 shares
89¢→91.5¢
$57.85
$65.00
$59.48
+$1.63 (+2.8%)
Will Mouse: P.I. For Hire win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 90¢65 shares
90¢→91.5¢
$58.50
$65.00
$59.48
+$0.98 (+1.7%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by August 31, 2026?
No 94¢65 shares
94¢→91.5¢
$61.10
$65.00
$59.48
−$1.62 (-2.7%)

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.5¢60 shares
98.5¢→99.0¢
$59.10
$60.00
$59.37
+$0.27 (+0.5%)
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Hilal?
No 91.5¢60 shares
91.5¢→99.0¢
$54.90
$60.00
$59.37
+$4.47 (+8.1%)
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 92¢65 shares
92¢→91¢
$59.80
$65.00
$59.15
−$0.65 (-1.1%)

Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
No 96.2¢60 shares
96.2¢→98.1¢
$57.72
$60.00
$58.86
+$1.14 (+2.0%)

Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 94.1¢60 shares
94.1¢→97.9¢
$56.46
$60.00
$58.71
+$2.25 (+4.0%)

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?
No 95.7¢60 shares
95.7¢→97.7¢
$57.42
$60.00
$58.62
+$1.20 (+2.1%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by August 31, 2026?
No 92¢106.3 shares
92¢→55.0¢
$97.80
$106.30
$58.47
−$39.33 (-40.2%)
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 93¢65 shares
93¢→89¢
$60.45
$65.00
$57.85
−$2.60 (-4.3%)
Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?
No 90¢65 shares
90¢→88.5¢
$58.50
$65.00
$57.53
−$0.98 (-1.7%)
Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
No 91¢65 shares
91¢→87.5¢
$59.15
$65.00
$56.88
−$2.27 (-3.8%)

Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?
No 94¢57.9 shares
94¢→97.4¢
$54.43
$57.90
$56.37
+$1.94 (+3.6%)

Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 92.3¢60 shares
92.3¢→93.8¢
$55.38
$60.00
$56.25
+$0.87 (+1.6%)

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No 92¢65 shares
92¢→86¢
$59.80
$65.00
$55.90
−$3.90 (-6.5%)

Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 96.2¢60 shares
96.2¢→91.1¢
$57.72
$60.00
$54.69
−$3.03 (-5.2%)

Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No 94.4¢60 shares
94.4¢→91¢
$56.64
$60.00
$54.60
−$2.04 (-3.6%)
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Yes 93.9¢60 shares
93.9¢→85¢
$56.34
$60.00
$51.00
−$5.34 (-9.5%)

Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
No 45¢150 shares
45¢→33.5¢
$67.50
$150.00
$50.25
−$17.25 (-25.6%)

Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 90¢53.3 shares
90¢→93.5¢
$48.00
$53.34
$49.87
+$1.87 (+3.9%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by August 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢130 shares
92.5¢→38¢
$120.25
$130.00
$49.40
−$70.85 (-58.9%)

Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
No 94.2¢50.3 shares
94.2¢→97.7¢
$47.31
$50.25
$49.07
+$1.76 (+3.7%)
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
No 93¢48 shares
93¢→99.3¢
$44.62
$47.98
$47.62
+$3.00 (+6.7%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
No 92.1¢60 shares
92.1¢→78.5¢
$55.26
$60.00
$47.10
−$8.16 (-14.8%)
Will Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
No 93.8¢50 shares
93.8¢→93.7¢
$46.86
$49.96
$46.81
−$0.05 (-0.1%)

Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
No 88.2¢60 shares
88.2¢→72.3¢
$52.92
$60.00
$43.38
−$9.54 (-18.0%)

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
No 89¢50 shares
89¢→82.5¢
$44.50
$50.00
$41.25
−$3.25 (-7.3%)

Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Yes 90¢40 shares
90¢→96.7¢
$36.00
$40.00
$38.68
+$2.68 (+7.4%)
Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
No 88¢65 shares
88¢→58.0¢
$57.20
$65.00
$37.70
−$19.50 (-34.1%)

Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
Yes 5.5¢520 shares
5.5¢→6.8¢
$28.60
$520.00
$35.10
+$6.50 (+22.7%)

Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 90¢35 shares
90¢→96.7¢
$31.50
$35.00
$33.85
+$2.34 (+7.4%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 94¢34 shares
94¢→95.0¢
$31.96
$34.00
$32.28
+$0.32 (+1.0%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Yes 90¢65 shares
90¢→49¢
$58.50
$65.00
$31.85
−$26.65 (-45.6%)
Will Crimson Desert win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 6¢106 shares
6¢→29.5¢
$6.36
$106.00
$31.27
+$24.91 (+391.7%)

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢479 shares
7.0¢→6.5¢
$33.53
$478.95
$31.13
−$2.39 (-7.1%)
Will Esoteric Ebb win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 3.7¢70.8 shares
3.7¢→43.5¢
$2.63
$70.75
$30.78
+$28.15 (+1070.2%)
Will Mixtape win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 5.2¢106 shares
5.2¢→28.5¢
$5.54
$106.00
$30.20
+$24.66 (+445.1%)
Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
No 91¢30.9 shares
91¢→94.5¢
$28.13
$30.91
$29.19
+$1.07 (+3.8%)
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 3.5¢141.5 shares
3.5¢→20¢
$4.89
$141.45
$28.29
+$23.40 (+478.1%)

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.1¢28 shares
98.1¢→99.9¢
$27.47
$28.00
$27.96
+$0.49 (+1.8%)

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.2¢28 shares
98.2¢→99.6¢
$27.50
$28.00
$27.87
+$0.38 (+1.4%)

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.3¢28 shares
98.3¢→99.4¢
$27.52
$28.00
$27.82
+$0.29 (+1.1%)

Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?
No 90.2¢33.4 shares
90.2¢→82.2¢
$30.10
$33.37
$27.41
−$2.69 (-8.9%)
Will Titanium Court win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 3.8¢125 shares
3.8¢→20¢
$4.80
$125.00
$25.00
+$20.20 (+420.9%)
Will MOLE win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 3.5¢141.5 shares
3.5¢→17¢
$4.95
$141.45
$24.05
+$19.10 (+385.7%)
Will Crimson Desert win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 4¢76.8 shares
4¢→30.5¢
$3.07
$76.77
$23.41
+$20.34 (+662.5%)
Will Replaced win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 3.8¢125 shares
3.8¢→18¢
$4.80
$125.00
$22.50
+$17.70 (+368.8%)
