Total earnings
−$5,298,169.41
1D
$2.4K
7D
$61.7K
30D
$3.9K
90D
$297.4K
Total volume
$109.43M
Predictions
613
Positions value
$1.68M
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$5.35M
LP+$49.6K
Maker+$6.2K
Yield+$746.51
Taker+$42.12
Fees−$2.3K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81.5¢375.9K shares
81.5¢→84.5¢
$306.2K
$375.9K
$317.7K
+$11.4K (+3.7%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 71.2¢321.8K shares
71.2¢→93.5¢
$229.1K
$321.8K
$300.9K
+$71.8K (+31.4%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 87.8¢173.0K shares
87.8¢→86.5¢
$151.9K
$173.0K
$149.7K
−$2.3K (-1.5%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 80.7¢107.3K shares
80.7¢→92¢
$86.6K
$107.3K
$98.7K
+$12.1K (+14.0%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 86.3¢94.1K shares
86.3¢→95.7¢
$81.2K
$94.1K
$90.0K
+$8.8K (+10.8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
No 97.1¢75.0K shares
97.1¢→98.6¢
$72.8K
$75.0K
$73.9K
+$1.1K (+1.5%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 93.2¢71.2K shares
93.2¢→96.0¢
$66.4K
$71.2K
$68.3K
+$1.9K (+2.9%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
No 67.9¢72.0K shares
67.9¢→90.5¢
$48.9K
$72.0K
$65.2K
+$16.3K (+33.2%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 75.9¢44.3K shares
75.9¢→87¢
$33.7K
$44.3K
$38.6K
+$4.9K (+14.6%)
Iran coup attempt by December 31?
No 88.0¢42.9K shares
88.0¢→89.5¢
$37.7K
$42.9K
$38.4K
+$625.02 (+1.7%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 69.1¢56.9K shares
69.1¢→61.5¢
$39.3K
$56.9K
$35.0K
−$4.3K (-11.1%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 60.8¢56.6K shares
60.8¢→56.5¢
$34.4K
$56.6K
$32.0K
−$2.5K (-7.1%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 74.7¢41.1K shares
74.7¢→73.5¢
$30.7K
$41.1K
$30.2K
−$521.45 (-1.7%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 71.2¢31.0K shares
71.2¢→94.5¢
$22.1K
$31.0K
$29.3K
+$7.2K (+32.7%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
No 53.2¢67.0K shares
53.2¢→38.5¢
$35.7K
$67.0K
$25.8K
−$9.9K (-27.7%)
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 91.6¢25.1K shares
91.6¢→93.0¢
$23.0K
$25.1K
$23.3K
+$335.44 (+1.5%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
No 88.8¢23.5K shares
88.8¢→96.3¢
$20.9K
$23.5K
$22.7K
+$1.8K (+8.5%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 95.4¢21.5K shares
95.4¢→97.7¢
$20.5K
$21.5K
$21.0K
+$479.25 (+2.3%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
No 79.4¢21.8K shares
79.4¢→93.8¢
$17.3K
$21.8K
$20.5K
+$3.1K (+18.0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 19.3¢187.3K shares
19.3¢→8.5¢
$36.2K
$187.3K
$15.9K
−$20.2K (-56.0%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 64.5¢22.5K shares
64.5¢→66.5¢
$14.5K
$22.5K
$15.0K
+$442.24 (+3.0%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 29.9¢40.2K shares
29.9¢→34.5¢
$12.0K
$40.2K
$13.8K
+$1.8K (+15.3%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
No 93.7¢13.4K shares
93.7¢→98.9¢
$12.6K
$13.4K
$13.3K
+$685.65 (+5.5%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
No 78.0¢15.5K shares
78.0¢→85¢
$12.1K
$15.5K
$13.2K
+$1.1K (+9.0%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No 75.7¢16.1K shares
75.7¢→81.5¢
$12.2K
$16.1K
$13.1K
+$930.89 (+7.6%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 64.6¢19.6K shares
64.6¢→64.5¢
$12.6K
$19.6K
$12.6K
−$16.34 (-0.1%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
No 87.5¢13.8K shares
87.5¢→88.5¢
$12.1K
$13.8K
$12.2K
+$134.26 (+1.1%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Yes 37.5¢43.9K shares
37.5¢→23.4¢
$16.4K
$43.9K
$10.2K
−$6.2K (-37.7%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 51.9¢12.7K shares
51.9¢→60.5¢
$6.6K
$12.7K
$7.7K
+$1.1K (+16.5%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
Yes 71.8¢8.3K shares
71.8¢→80.3¢
$6.0K
$8.3K
$6.7K
+$704.81 (+11.8%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 62.8¢10.1K shares
62.8¢→65¢
$6.3K
$10.1K
$6.6K
+$224.83 (+3.5%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 25.5¢25.7K shares
25.5¢→24¢
$6.5K
$25.7K
$6.2K
−$376.12 (-5.7%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 10.9¢221.0K shares
10.9¢→2.4¢
$24.2K
$221.0K
$5.2K
−$19.0K (-78.5%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Yes 11.8¢41.0K shares
11.8¢→11.5¢
$4.8K
$41.0K
$4.7K
−$135.29 (-2.8%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 44.7¢5.0K shares
44.7¢→90.5¢
$2.2K
$5.0K
$4.5K
+$2.3K (+102.5%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 61¢6.7K shares
61¢→65.5¢
$4.1K
$6.7K
$4.4K
+$297.25 (+7.3%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 35.1¢18.1K shares
35.1¢→22.5¢
$6.3K
$18.1K
$4.1K
−$2.3K (-35.9%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→82.3¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$3.4K
+$3.4K (+16509.5%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Yes 13.5¢33.6K shares
13.5¢→9.5¢
$4.6K
$33.6K
$3.2K
−$1.4K (-29.8%)
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
No 70.8¢3.5K shares
70.8¢→90.5¢
$2.5K
$3.5K
$3.1K
+$682.84 (+27.8%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 20.7¢17.9K shares
20.7¢→15.5¢
$3.7K
$17.9K
$2.8K
−$937.81 (-25.2%)
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 98.2¢2.6K shares
98.2¢→98.3¢
$2.6K
$2.6K
$2.6K
+$2.62 (+0.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 24.9¢8.1K shares
24.9¢→29.5¢
$2.0K
$8.1K
$2.4K
+$372.73 (+18.5%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Yes 5.5¢60.9K shares
5.5¢→3.7¢
$3.4K
$60.9K
$2.3K
−$1.1K (-33.0%)
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Yes 12.0¢40.0K shares
12.0¢→5.5¢
$4.8K
$40.0K
$2.2K
−$2.6K (-54.0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Yes 3.4¢83.1K shares
3.4¢→2.1¢
$2.8K
$83.1K
$1.7K
−$1.1K (-39.7%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Yes 16.9¢5.6K shares
16.9¢→21.6¢
$953.24
$5.6K
$1.2K
+$261.53 (+27.4%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Yes 3.6¢39.2K shares
3.6¢→2.5¢
$1.4K
$39.2K
$960.55
−$445.62 (-31.7%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
No 12¢6.7K shares
12¢→13.5¢
$800.01
$6.7K
$899.91
+$99.90 (+12.5%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
Yes 5.7¢25.0K shares
5.7¢→3.5¢
$1.4K
$25.0K
$863.73
−$561.25 (-39.4%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 68¢950 shares
68¢→67¢
$646.02
$950.03
$636.52
−$9.50 (-1.5%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Yes 6¢9.3K shares
6¢→5.5¢
$558.24
$9.3K
$511.72
−$46.52 (-8.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
No 12¢3.6K shares
12¢→12.5¢
$438.00
$3.6K
$456.25
+$18.25 (+4.2%)
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 89.7¢478.1 shares
89.7¢→90.9¢
$428.88
$478.13
$434.62
+$5.74 (+1.3%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?
Yes 8.0¢6.5K shares
8.0¢→6.5¢
$514.43
$6.5K
$419.53
−$94.90 (-18.4%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Yes 1.7¢38.1K shares
1.7¢→1.1¢
$635.11
$38.1K
$400.35
−$234.76 (-37.0%)
Iran leadership change by August 31?
Yes 7.2¢14.7K shares
7.2¢→2.6¢
$1.1K
$14.7K
$388.72
−$669.52 (-63.3%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
Yes 7.7¢3.4K shares
7.7¢→9.5¢
$261.27
$3.4K
$322.56
+$61.29 (+23.5%)
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 1.5¢67.2K shares
1.5¢→0.4¢
$980.88
$67.2K
$268.90
−$711.98 (-72.6%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
Yes 3.2¢11.1K shares
3.2¢→2.4¢
$356.44
$11.1K
$260.96
−$95.49 (-26.8%)
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 75¢343.1 shares
75¢→75.5¢
$257.32
$343.09
$259.03
+$1.72 (+0.7%)
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 3.5¢109.4K shares
3.5¢→0.2¢
$3.8K
$109.4K
$218.73
−$3.6K (-94.3%)
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 4.7¢69.2K shares
4.7¢→0.3¢
$3.2K
$69.2K
$173.03
−$3.1K (-94.7%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
No 69.5¢187.9 shares
69.5¢→76.5¢
$130.55
$187.90
$143.74
+$13.19 (+10.1%)
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$41.37
+$20.87 (+101.8%)
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.5¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$22.76
+$2.25 (+11.0%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Yes 7.0¢142.1 shares
7.0¢→7.5¢
$9.94
$142.07
$10.65
+$0.71 (+7.1%)
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$6.21
−$14.29 (-69.7%)
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$6.21
−$14.29 (-69.7%)
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$6.21
−$14.29 (-69.7%)
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$6.21
−$14.29 (-69.7%)
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$6.21
−$14.29 (-69.7%)
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$6.21
−$14.29 (-69.7%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 26.5¢13.6 shares
26.5¢→26.6¢
$3.61
$13.61
$3.61
+$0.01 (+0.2%)
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$2.07
−$18.43 (-89.9%)
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.5¢4.1K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$20.50
$4.1K
$2.07
−$18.43 (-89.9%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Yes 13¢8 shares
13¢→13.5¢
$1.04
$7.99
$1.08
+$0.04 (+3.8%)
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
No 32.1¢16.5K shares
32.1¢→0¢
$5.3K
$16.5K
Lost
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Yes 32¢4.5K shares
32¢→0¢
$1.5K
$4.5K
Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 15.4¢54.6K shares
15.4¢→0¢
$8.4K
$54.6K
Lost
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 0.5¢38.7K shares
0.5¢→0¢
$206.88
$38.7K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
Yes 3¢7.6K shares
3¢→0¢
$227.33
$7.6K
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Yes 2.4¢22.6K shares
2.4¢→0¢
$544.45
$22.6K
Lost
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
No 64.9¢182.3K shares
64.9¢→0¢
$118.4K
$182.3K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Yes 1.5¢8.9K shares
1.5¢→0¢
$132.55
$8.9K
Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Yes 62.0¢374.9 shares
62.0¢→0¢
$232.47
$374.95
Lost
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes 0.5¢15.3K shares
0.5¢→0¢
$72.61
$15.3K
Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Yes 1.8¢52.5K shares
1.8¢→0¢
$922.02
$52.5K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Yes 1.4¢10.1K shares
1.4¢→0¢
$146.11
$10.1K
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 31.0¢79.3K shares
31.0¢→0¢
$24.6K
$79.3K
Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Yes 1.1¢33.7K shares
1.1¢→0¢
$366.55
$33.7K
Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Yes 4.7¢134.4K shares
4.7¢→0¢
$6.3K
$134.4K
Lost
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 9.8¢74.6K shares
9.8¢→0¢
$7.3K
$74.6K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Yes 6.1¢26.3K shares
6.1¢→0¢
$1.6K
$26.3K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Yes 19.4¢14.0K shares
19.4¢→0¢
$2.7K
$14.0K
Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Yes 17.5¢349.0K shares
17.5¢→0¢
$61.2K
$349.0K
Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Yes 14.7¢19.2K shares
14.7¢→0¢
$2.8K
$19.2K
Lost
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes 0.5¢15.3K shares
0.5¢→0¢
$72.61
$15.3K
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
No 30.2¢45.6K shares
30.2¢→0¢
$13.8K
$45.6K
Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
No 28.1¢238.7K shares
28.1¢→0¢
$67.1K
$238.7K
Lost