Total earnings
$48,036.25
1D
−$904.94
7D
$1.1K
30D
$6.6K
90D
$16.4K
Total volume
$8.75M
Predictions
5,945
Positions value
$39.0K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$1.7K
LP+$46.1K
Maker+$386.13
Yield+$9.06
Taker+$1.76
Fees−$182.26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢20.0K shares
50¢→79.0¢
$10.0K
$20.0K
$15.8K
+$5.8K (+58.1%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢20.0K shares
50¢→20.9¢
$10.0K
$20.0K
$4.2K
−$5.8K (-58.1%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
No 98.1¢3.3K shares
98.1¢→99.0¢
$3.3K
$3.3K
$3.3K
+$28.33 (+0.9%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
No 91.1¢3.3K shares
91.1¢→98¢
$3.0K
$3.3K
$3.3K
+$230.70 (+7.6%)
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
No 79.9¢3.3K shares
79.9¢→95¢
$2.6K
$3.3K
$3.1K
+$498.00 (+18.9%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 97.0¢1.6K shares
97.0¢→97.5¢
$1.5K
$1.6K
$1.5K
+$8.56 (+0.6%)
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
No 97.6¢1.3K shares
97.6¢→98.3¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$8.28 (+0.7%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
No 39.0¢3.0K shares
39.0¢→25.5¢
$1.2K
$3.0K
$765.00
−$404.99 (-34.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
No 79.5¢1.0K shares
79.5¢→71.4¢
$795.00
$1.0K
$713.50
−$81.50 (-10.3%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
No 94¢666 shares
94¢→93.3¢
$626.04
$666.00
$621.38
−$4.66 (-0.7%)
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
No 85.5¢600 shares
85.5¢→82.5¢
$512.99
$599.99
$494.99
−$18.00 (-3.5%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
No 59.5¢402 shares
59.5¢→89¢
$239.00
$402.00
$357.78
+$118.78 (+49.7%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
No 84.4¢500 shares
84.4¢→64.5¢
$422.00
$500.00
$322.50
−$99.50 (-23.6%)
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?
Yes 92.2¢300 shares
92.2¢→97.5¢
$276.60
$300.00
$292.65
+$16.05 (+5.8%)
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?
No 87.6¢316.9 shares
87.6¢→84.4¢
$277.55
$316.92
$267.32
−$10.23 (-3.7%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
No 95.2¢250 shares
95.2¢→99.7¢
$238.00
$250.00
$249.25
+$11.25 (+4.7%)
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
No 97.3¢276.4 shares
97.3¢→78.9¢
$268.92
$276.44
$218.11
−$50.82 (-18.9%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
No 55.0¢555 shares
55.0¢→38.5¢
$305.25
$555.00
$213.68
−$91.57 (-30.0%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
No 82¢200 shares
82¢→86.5¢
$164.00
$200.00
$173.00
+$9.00 (+5.5%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
No 86¢200 shares
86¢→76.6¢
$172.00
$200.00
$153.30
−$18.70 (-10.9%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 91.7¢145.3 shares
91.7¢→93.5¢
$133.33
$145.34
$135.90
+$2.56 (+1.9%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
No 39¢200 shares
39¢→64.5¢
$78.00
$200.00
$129.00
+$51.00 (+65.4%)
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
No 81.6¢144 shares
81.6¢→83¢
$117.47
$144.00
$119.52
+$2.05 (+1.7%)
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?
No 90.3¢101.6 shares
90.3¢→95.3¢
$91.74
$101.60
$96.77
+$5.03 (+5.5%)
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
No 92.6¢80.5 shares
92.6¢→94.0¢
$74.57
$80.50
$75.63
+$1.06 (+1.4%)
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
No 95.5¢62.4 shares
95.5¢→97.7¢
$59.60
$62.41
$60.94
+$1.34 (+2.3%)
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
No 90¢100 shares
90¢→60.5¢
$90.00
$100.00
$60.50
−$29.50 (-32.8%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?
No 90¢100 shares
90¢→58.0¢
$90.00
$100.00
$58.00
−$32.00 (-35.6%)
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?
No 91¢58.5 shares
91¢→95.3¢
$53.24
$58.51
$55.73
+$2.49 (+4.7%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
No 96.8¢57.9 shares
96.8¢→92.7¢
$56.03
$57.88
$53.65
−$2.37 (-4.2%)
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?
No 93.0¢57.1 shares
93.0¢→93.5¢
$53.14
$57.14
$53.43
+$0.29 (+0.5%)
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?
Yes 92¢55 shares
92¢→91.5¢
$50.60
$55.00
$50.33
−$0.27 (-0.5%)
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 88¢50 shares
88¢→97.4¢
$44.00
$50.00
$48.68
+$4.67 (+10.6%)
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
No 89¢51 shares
89¢→89.5¢
$45.39
$51.00
$45.65
+$0.26 (+0.6%)
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
No 91¢49.6 shares
91¢→91¢
$45.17
$49.64
$45.17
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
No 40¢88 shares
40¢→43¢
$35.20
$87.99
$37.84
+$2.64 (+7.5%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
No 85¢100 shares
85¢→37.5¢
$85.00
$100.00
$37.50
−$47.50 (-55.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?
Yes 88¢51 shares
88¢→71.5¢
$44.88
$51.00
$36.46
−$8.42 (-18.8%)
Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?
No 11.7¢190.2 shares
11.7¢→17¢
$22.17
$190.18
$32.33
+$10.16 (+45.8%)
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
No 93.4¢30 shares
93.4¢→94.9¢
$28.02
$30.00
$28.47
+$0.45 (+1.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?
No 85¢33.9 shares
85¢→79.5¢
$28.78
$33.86
$26.92
−$1.86 (-6.5%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Yes 76¢100 shares
76¢→25.5¢
$76.00
$100.00
$25.50
−$50.50 (-66.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
No 84.9¢32.9 shares
84.9¢→72.5¢
$27.90
$32.88
$23.83
−$4.06 (-14.6%)
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?
No 94¢23.8 shares
94¢→97.2¢
$22.38
$23.81
$23.14
+$0.76 (+3.4%)
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?
No 93.9¢25 shares
93.9¢→92.3¢
$23.47
$25.00
$23.06
−$0.41 (-1.8%)
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 75.5¢42 shares
75.5¢→53¢
$31.71
$42.00
$22.26
−$9.45 (-29.8%)
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 80¢22 shares
80¢→95.9¢
$17.60
$22.00
$21.10
+$3.50 (+19.9%)
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 92¢21.7 shares
92¢→92.5¢
$20.00
$21.74
$20.11
+$0.11 (+0.5%)
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 10–20%?
No 84¢18.9 shares
84¢→99.8¢
$15.90
$18.93
$18.89
+$2.99 (+18.8%)
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Yes 5.5¢748.2 shares
5.5¢→2.3¢
$41.15
$748.22
$17.21
−$23.94 (-58.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?
No 88¢17.4 shares
88¢→86¢
$15.35
$17.44
$15.00
−$0.35 (-2.3%)
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
No 94.8¢16 shares
94.8¢→93.5¢
$15.18
$16.00
$14.96
−$0.22 (-1.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?
Yes 81.2¢17.8 shares
81.2¢→79.5¢
$14.48
$17.82
$14.17
−$0.31 (-2.1%)
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
No 77¢18.4 shares
77¢→71.5¢
$14.20
$18.44
$13.18
−$1.01 (-7.1%)
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
Yes 5.7¢406.6 shares
5.7¢→3.0¢
$23.32
$406.55
$12.40
−$10.92 (-46.8%)
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8¢150 shares
8¢→7.5¢
$12.00
$150.00
$11.25
−$0.75 (-6.3%)
Trump on $250 bill this year?
Yes 6¢360 shares
6¢→2.8¢
$21.60
$360.00
$9.90
−$11.70 (-54.2%)
Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
No 93¢9.9 shares
93¢→99.9¢
$9.18
$9.87
$9.86
+$0.68 (+7.4%)
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢150 shares
7.0¢→6.5¢
$10.50
$150.00
$9.75
−$0.75 (-7.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?
No 12.3¢108.2 shares
12.3¢→9¢
$13.30
$108.20
$9.74
−$3.56 (-26.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-06 House seat?
No 7.2¢123 shares
7.2¢→6.5¢
$8.90
$123.00
$8.00
−$0.90 (-10.2%)
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.6¢143.4 shares
6.6¢→5.5¢
$9.43
$143.41
$7.89
−$1.54 (-16.3%)
Will Kamu Kirk come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?
Yes 7.0¢100 shares
7.0¢→7.5¢
$7.00
$100.00
$7.50
+$0.50 (+7.1%)
Will Ashley Trail come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
Yes 4.5¢360 shares
4.5¢→1.9¢
$16.20
$360.00
$7.02
−$9.18 (-56.7%)
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8¢86.5 shares
8¢→8¢
$6.92
$86.50
$6.92
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?
Yes 6.5¢180 shares
6.5¢→3.8¢
$11.70
$180.00
$6.75
−$4.95 (-42.3%)
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢150 shares
7.0¢→4.5¢
$10.50
$150.00
$6.68
−$3.83 (-36.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?
No 6.8¢101 shares
6.8¢→6¢
$6.83
$101.00
$6.06
−$0.77 (-11.2%)
Will Taylor Brown come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?
Yes 6¢180 shares
6¢→3.3¢
$10.80
$180.00
$5.94
−$4.86 (-45.0%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?
No 89¢10 shares
89¢→54¢
$8.90
$10.00
$5.40
−$3.50 (-39.3%)
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?
Yes 2.8¢209.6 shares
2.8¢→2.4¢
$5.87
$209.58
$5.03
−$0.84 (-14.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Yes 89¢50 shares
89¢→7.5¢
$44.50
$50.00
$3.75
−$40.75 (-91.6%)
Will Melody Morris come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?
Yes 5.2¢160.6 shares
5.2¢→2.3¢
$8.38
$160.61
$3.69
−$4.68 (-55.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?
No 12¢31.7 shares
12¢→10.5¢
$3.81
$31.71
$3.33
−$0.48 (-12.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
No 6¢50 shares
6¢→6.3¢
$3.00
$50.00
$3.13
+$0.13 (+4.2%)
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?
No 3¢126 shares
3¢→2.5¢
$3.78
$125.96
$3.09
−$0.69 (-18.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat?
No 6.8¢61 shares
6.8¢→5¢
$4.15
$60.99
$3.05
−$1.10 (-26.5%)
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?
Yes 69.0¢4.4 shares
69.0¢→67.5¢
$3.06
$4.44
$3.00
−$0.07 (-2.2%)
Will Drew Campbell come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
Yes 8¢34.6 shares
8¢→8.5¢
$2.77
$34.61
$2.94
+$0.17 (+6.2%)
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Yes 3¢241 shares
3¢→0.9¢
$7.23
$241.00
$2.29
−$4.94 (-68.3%)
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
No 7.0¢41.2 shares
7.0¢→5.3¢
$2.89
$41.23
$2.21
−$0.68 (-23.6%)
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
No 95.2¢2 shares
95.2¢→95.9¢
$1.93
$2.03
$1.94
+$0.01 (+0.6%)
Will Haley Thogmartin come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
Yes 6¢50 shares
6¢→3.7¢
$3.00
$50.00
$1.85
−$1.15 (-38.3%)
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 4¢150 shares
4¢→1.1¢
$6.00
$150.00
$1.73
−$4.28 (-71.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?
Yes 4¢55 shares
4¢→2.1¢
$2.20
$55.00
$1.18
−$1.02 (-46.5%)
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes 5¢121 shares
5¢→0.7¢
$6.05
$120.99
$0.79
−$5.26 (-87.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Yes 5.0¢24.7 shares
5.0¢→3.0¢
$1.22
$24.71
$0.75
−$0.47 (-38.4%)
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes 4.5¢74.1 shares
4.5¢→0.3¢
$3.33
$74.05
$0.22
−$3.11 (-93.3%)
Will Chris Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Yes 2.8¢21 shares
2.8¢→0.5¢
$0.59
$21.00
$0.12
−$0.47 (-80.4%)
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Yes 86¢3.3 shares
86¢→3.3¢
$2.81
$3.27
$0.11
−$2.70 (-96.2%)
Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28?
Yes 6.6¢210 shares
6.6¢→0.1¢
$13.80
$210.00
$0.11
−$13.69 (-99.2%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Yes 88¢200 shares
88¢→0.1¢
$176.00
$200.00
$0.10
−$175.90 (-99.9%)
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Yes 6.7¢66.4 shares
6.7¢→0.1¢
$4.43
$66.35
$0.10
−$4.33 (-97.8%)
Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 2¢195 shares
2¢→0.1¢
$3.90
$195.00
$0.10
−$3.80 (-97.5%)
Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 2.0¢195 shares
2.0¢→0.1¢
$3.90
$194.99
$0.10
−$3.80 (-97.5%)
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes 3¢10.1 shares
3¢→0.5¢
$0.30
$10.10
$0.06
−$0.25 (-81.7%)
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Yes 2¢75 shares
2¢→0.1¢
$1.50
$75.04
$0.04
−$1.46 (-97.5%)
Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Yes 0.2¢12.4 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$0.02
$12.36
$0.02
−$0.01 (-25.1%)
Will Ryan Walters win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 1.1¢21 shares
1.1¢→0.1¢
$0.23
$21.00
$0.01
−$0.22 (-95.4%)
Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 7.0¢5.3 shares
7.0¢→0.1¢
$0.37
$5.26
$0.00
−$0.37 (-99.3%)