Total earnings
$345,938.35
1D
$7.2K
7D
−$6.6K
30D
$87.4K
90D
$346.9K
Total volume
$11.40M
Predictions
424
Positions value
$188.8K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$351.0K
LP+$465.21
Maker+$132.98
Yield+$0.01
Taker+$232.18
Fees−$4.4K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
No 45.2¢45.8K shares
45.2¢→71.5¢
$20.7K
$45.8K
$32.8K
+$12.0K (+58.1%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes 80.3¢21.4K shares
80.3¢→87.5¢
$17.2K
$21.4K
$18.7K
+$1.6K (+9.0%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No 31.9¢36.0K shares
31.9¢→46¢
$11.5K
$36.0K
$16.5K
+$5.1K (+44.0%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 29.8¢97.9K shares
29.8¢→13.5¢
$29.2K
$97.9K
$13.2K
−$16.0K (-54.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Yes 97.8¢13.3K shares
97.8¢→99.1¢
$13.0K
$13.3K
$13.2K
+$179.39 (+1.4%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 49.9¢21.9K shares
49.9¢→56.5¢
$10.9K
$21.9K
$12.4K
+$1.4K (+13.1%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
No 57.6¢8.6K shares
57.6¢→89.5¢
$4.9K
$8.6K
$7.7K
+$2.7K (+55.4%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 67.1¢10.4K shares
67.1¢→73.5¢
$7.0K
$10.4K
$7.6K
+$663.96 (+9.6%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 55.9¢7.8K shares
55.9¢→69.5¢
$4.3K
$7.8K
$5.4K
+$1.1K (+24.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 91.8¢5.4K shares
91.8¢→92.5¢
$4.9K
$5.4K
$5.0K
+$35.52 (+0.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
No 14.3¢62.1K shares
14.3¢→7.5¢
$8.9K
$62.1K
$4.7K
−$4.2K (-47.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
No 42.0¢9.5K shares
42.0¢→41.5¢
$4.0K
$9.5K
$4.0K
−$50.09 (-1.3%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
No 42¢6.5K shares
42¢→59¢
$2.7K
$6.5K
$3.8K
+$1.1K (+40.5%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
No 41.3¢8.1K shares
41.3¢→47.5¢
$3.3K
$8.1K
$3.8K
+$502.98 (+15.1%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 86.2¢4.1K shares
86.2¢→86.5¢
$3.5K
$4.1K
$3.6K
+$14.41 (+0.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
No 37.8¢23.6K shares
37.8¢→14.5¢
$8.9K
$23.6K
$3.4K
−$5.5K (-61.7%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Yes 13.2¢39.4K shares
13.2¢→8.5¢
$5.2K
$39.4K
$3.3K
−$1.8K (-35.6%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes 56.1¢12.1K shares
56.1¢→21.5¢
$6.8K
$12.1K
$2.6K
−$4.2K (-61.7%)
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
No 82¢3.0K shares
82¢→82.5¢
$2.5K
$3.0K
$2.5K
+$15.00 (+0.6%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 15.5¢14.6K shares
15.5¢→16.5¢
$2.3K
$14.6K
$2.4K
+$145.20 (+6.4%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
No 17.5¢9.4K shares
17.5¢→22¢
$1.6K
$9.4K
$2.1K
+$425.61 (+25.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
No 36.0¢23.3K shares
36.0¢→8.5¢
$8.4K
$23.3K
$2.0K
−$6.4K (-76.4%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
No 60.7¢1.9K shares
60.7¢→95.5¢
$1.2K
$1.9K
$1.8K
+$660.58 (+57.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
No 93¢1.6K shares
93¢→95.5¢
$1.5K
$1.6K
$1.6K
+$40.87 (+2.7%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
No 83.0¢1.5K shares
83.0¢→96.7¢
$1.2K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$202.31 (+16.5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No 8.5¢10.3K shares
8.5¢→13.5¢
$873.23
$10.3K
$1.4K
+$519.61 (+59.5%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 25.2¢6.1K shares
25.2¢→22.5¢
$1.5K
$6.1K
$1.4K
−$163.94 (-10.7%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 57.0¢1.5K shares
57.0¢→65.5¢
$870.04
$1.5K
$1.0K
+$130.59 (+15.0%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
No 78¢1.0K shares
78¢→92.5¢
$780.00
$1.0K
$925.00
+$145.00 (+18.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
No 8.1¢93.6K shares
8.1¢→0.9¢
$7.6K
$93.6K
$842.84
−$6.7K (-88.8%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Yes 14.3¢2.1K shares
14.3¢→35¢
$303.45
$2.1K
$741.80
+$438.35 (+144.5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 24¢3.4K shares
24¢→21.5¢
$817.60
$3.4K
$732.44
−$85.17 (-10.4%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
No 57.3¢876.6 shares
57.3¢→82.5¢
$502.64
$876.61
$723.20
+$220.57 (+43.9%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
No 57.6¢788.3 shares
57.6¢→88.5¢
$454.04
$788.29
$697.64
+$243.60 (+53.7%)
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 37¢2.0K shares
37¢→32.5¢
$744.40
$2.0K
$653.86
−$90.53 (-12.2%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Yes 24.6¢12.5K shares
24.6¢→4.5¢
$3.1K
$12.5K
$568.98
−$2.5K (-81.5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Yes 3.2¢121.0K shares
3.2¢→0.4¢
$3.9K
$121.0K
$544.32
−$3.4K (-86.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 13.8¢7.2K shares
13.8¢→6.5¢
$997.97
$7.2K
$468.75
−$529.22 (-53.0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 28.7¢5.0K shares
28.7¢→8.5¢
$1.4K
$5.0K
$425.00
−$1.0K (-70.4%)
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 74.2¢500 shares
74.2¢→71.8¢
$371.20
$500.00
$359.00
−$12.20 (-3.3%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 36.2¢1.0K shares
36.2¢→31.5¢
$362.45
$1.0K
$315.00
−$47.45 (-13.1%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
No 28.8¢410.9 shares
28.8¢→69.0¢
$118.22
$410.89
$283.47
+$165.25 (+139.8%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Yes 18.2¢4.6K shares
18.2¢→5.5¢
$838.61
$4.6K
$253.64
−$584.97 (-69.8%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
No 15.6¢535 shares
15.6¢→24¢
$83.45
$535.00
$128.40
+$44.95 (+53.9%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Yes 46.9¢519.8 shares
46.9¢→24.5¢
$243.71
$519.76
$127.34
−$116.36 (-47.7%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Yes 11.8¢808.5 shares
11.8¢→15.6¢
$95.46
$808.54
$125.73
+$30.26 (+31.7%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 6.6¢2.0K shares
6.6¢→5.7¢
$131.08
$2.0K
$113.00
−$18.08 (-13.8%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 31.3¢107.4 shares
31.3¢→89¢
$33.59
$107.35
$95.54
+$61.95 (+184.5%)
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
Yes 9.0¢497.2 shares
9.0¢→19.1¢
$44.69
$497.15
$94.96
+$50.26 (+112.5%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Yes 3.1¢3.3K shares
3.1¢→2.3¢
$100.97
$3.3K
$73.28
−$27.68 (-27.4%)
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
Yes 7.7¢2.9K shares
7.7¢→2.3¢
$220.99
$2.9K
$66.25
−$154.74 (-70.0%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Yes 34.0¢246.5 shares
34.0¢→26.5¢
$83.79
$246.48
$65.32
−$18.47 (-22.0%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢5.1K shares
19¢→1.2¢
$970.52
$5.1K
$61.30
−$909.22 (-93.7%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes 12.5¢360.8 shares
12.5¢→10.9¢
$45.24
$360.79
$39.51
−$5.73 (-12.7%)
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Yes 63.9¢72.5 shares
63.9¢→51¢
$46.31
$72.51
$36.98
−$9.33 (-20.1%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Yes 23.5¢650.3 shares
23.5¢→1.8¢
$152.82
$650.26
$11.38
−$141.44 (-92.6%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Yes 32.6¢53.4 shares
32.6¢→11.5¢
$17.41
$53.43
$6.14
−$11.27 (-64.7%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Yes 14.8¢3.4K shares
14.8¢→0¢
$496.17
$3.4K
Lost
Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
Yes 15¢37 shares
15¢→0¢
$5.55
$37.00
Lost
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Yes 7.6¢19.4K shares
7.6¢→0¢
$1.5K
$19.4K
Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes 3.2¢4.1K shares
3.2¢→0¢
$131.55
$4.1K
Lost
Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?
No 61.5¢901.8 shares
61.5¢→0¢
$554.95
$901.82
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
No 12.2¢92.8K shares
12.2¢→0¢
$11.3K
$92.8K
Lost
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Yes 44.0¢100 shares
44.0¢→0¢
$44.00
$100.00
Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Yes 12.0¢73.6K shares
12.0¢→0¢
$8.8K
$73.6K
Lost
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
No 16.5¢4.5K shares
16.5¢→0¢
$744.73
$4.5K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
No 54.5¢495.5 shares
54.5¢→0¢
$270.35
$495.54
Lost
Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation?
No 29.8¢1.1K shares
29.8¢→0¢
$324.20
$1.1K
Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
Yes 4.6¢16.6K shares
4.6¢→0¢
$765.20
$16.6K
Lost
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?
No 5.9¢1.7K shares
5.9¢→0¢
$98.53
$1.7K
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
No 8.6¢20.0K shares
8.6¢→0¢
$1.7K
$20.0K
Lost
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
No 2.2¢3.9K shares
2.2¢→0¢
$88.39
$3.9K
Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 18.9¢103.8 shares
18.9¢→0¢
$19.59
$103.81
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 25.6¢15.9K shares
25.6¢→0¢
$4.1K
$15.9K
Lost
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Yes 1.6¢1.0K shares
1.6¢→0¢
$16.28
$1.0K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
No 17.0¢5.6K shares
17.0¢→0¢
$948.04
$5.6K
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 0.7¢247.9K shares
0.7¢→0¢
$1.8K
$247.9K
Lost
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
No 21.5¢1.2K shares
21.5¢→0¢
$256.22
$1.2K
Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Yes 8.3¢14.4K shares
8.3¢→0¢
$1.2K
$14.4K
Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Yes 4.0¢27.9K shares
4.0¢→0¢
$1.1K
$27.9K
Lost
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
No 6.2¢5.3K shares
6.2¢→0¢
$332.05
$5.3K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
No 41.9¢3.7K shares
41.9¢→0¢
$1.5K
$3.7K
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Yes 0.9¢10.0K shares
0.9¢→0¢
$93.35
$10.0K
Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
No 1.0¢10.0K shares
1.0¢→0¢
$96.44
$10.0K
Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Yes 6.9¢18.2K shares
6.9¢→0¢
$1.3K
$18.2K
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
No 19.5¢26.6K shares
19.5¢→0¢
$5.2K
$26.6K
Lost
Will Trump or Melania say "Ballroom" at the Military Mothers event?
No 50¢200 shares
50¢→0¢
$100.00
$200.00
Lost
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Yes 32.6¢961 shares
32.6¢→0¢
$312.82
$960.99
Lost
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?
No 5.3¢1.2K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$65.36
$1.2K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
No 47.6¢1.6K shares
47.6¢→0¢
$759.03
$1.6K
Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Yes 29.5¢31.7K shares
29.5¢→0¢
$9.4K
$31.7K
Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 17.9¢29.1K shares
17.9¢→0¢
$5.2K
$29.1K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Yes 24.6¢10.2K shares
24.6¢→0¢
$2.5K
$10.2K
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
No 36.9¢15.8K shares
36.9¢→0¢
$5.8K
$15.8K
Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Yes 3.6¢8.4K shares
3.6¢→0¢
$303.02
$8.4K
Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Yes 15.6¢1.7K shares
15.6¢→0¢
$267.95
$1.7K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
No 16.2¢114.5K shares
16.2¢→0¢
$18.5K
$114.5K
Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Yes 15¢20 shares
15¢→0¢
$3.00
$20.00
Lost
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 48.3¢1.7K shares
48.3¢→0¢
$835.15
$1.7K
Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Yes 25.5¢150 shares
25.5¢→0¢
$38.32
$150.00
Lost