Total earnings
$4,483.54
1D
−$632.13
7D
−$83.17
30D
$2.1K
90D
$5.2K
Total volume
$7.52M
Predictions
6,458
Positions value
$4.1K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$135.8K
LP+$151.7K
Maker+$4.8K
Yield+$0.00
Taker+$841.51
Fees−$17.1K
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
No 59¢672 shares
59¢→47.5¢
$396.48
$672.00
$319.20
−$77.28 (-19.5%)

Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?
No 73¢575 shares
73¢→55.5¢
$419.75
$575.00
$319.13
−$100.63 (-24.0%)

Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Yes 70¢478 shares
70¢→53.5¢
$334.60
$478.00
$255.73
−$78.87 (-23.6%)

Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
Yes 76¢453 shares
76¢→53.5¢
$344.28
$453.00
$242.36
−$101.93 (-29.6%)
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?
No 73¢294 shares
73¢→61.5¢
$214.62
$294.00
$180.81
−$33.81 (-15.8%)

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?
Yes 36¢576 shares
36¢→28.0¢
$207.36
$576.00
$161.28
−$46.08 (-22.2%)
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?
No 61¢317 shares
61¢→49.5¢
$193.37
$317.00
$156.92
−$36.46 (-18.9%)

Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Yes 65.4¢277 shares
65.4¢→50.2¢
$181.16
$277.00
$139.16
−$41.99 (-23.2%)
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?
No 71¢232 shares
71¢→58.5¢
$164.72
$232.00
$135.72
−$29.00 (-17.6%)

Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
No 58.0¢422 shares
58.0¢→31¢
$244.76
$422.00
$130.82
−$113.94 (-46.6%)
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
Yes 62.9¢785.2 shares
62.9¢→13.5¢
$493.70
$785.17
$106.00
−$387.70 (-78.5%)

Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
No 36¢394.4 shares
36¢→26¢
$142.00
$394.44
$102.55
−$39.44 (-27.8%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
No 91.0¢115.3 shares
91.0¢→88.5¢
$104.94
$115.31
$102.05
−$2.88 (-2.7%)
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
Yes 31¢460 shares
31¢→21.5¢
$142.60
$460.00
$98.90
−$43.70 (-30.6%)
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?
No 39¢819 shares
39¢→11.9¢
$319.41
$819.00
$97.87
−$221.54 (-69.4%)

Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
Yes 33¢746 shares
33¢→11.5¢
$246.18
$746.00
$85.79
−$160.39 (-65.2%)
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?
Yes 30¢714 shares
30¢→11.5¢
$214.20
$714.00
$82.11
−$132.09 (-61.7%)
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?
No 75¢104.9 shares
75¢→65.5¢
$78.65
$104.86
$68.68
−$9.96 (-12.7%)
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
No 81¢169 shares
81¢→38.5¢
$136.90
$169.01
$65.07
−$71.83 (-52.5%)
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?
No 35¢242.1 shares
35¢→25.5¢
$84.72
$242.07
$61.73
−$23.00 (-27.1%)

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Yes 22¢326.6 shares
22¢→18.5¢
$71.85
$326.60
$60.42
−$11.43 (-15.9%)

Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
Yes 47¢309.7 shares
47¢→17¢
$145.54
$309.67
$52.64
−$92.90 (-63.8%)
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?
Yes 23¢404 shares
23¢→12.5¢
$92.92
$404.00
$50.50
−$42.42 (-45.7%)

Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 38.8¢187 shares
38.8¢→23.5¢
$72.63
$186.99
$43.94
−$28.68 (-39.5%)

Will Rick Devens come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
No 92¢43 shares
92¢→90.5¢
$39.56
$43.00
$38.92
−$0.65 (-1.6%)
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
No 58.0¢88 shares
58.0¢→44¢
$51.04
$88.00
$38.72
−$12.32 (-24.1%)

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Yes 19.3¢244 shares
19.3¢→14.1¢
$47.09
$243.99
$34.50
−$12.59 (-26.7%)

Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
No 74¢47 shares
74¢→72.5¢
$34.78
$47.00
$34.07
−$0.71 (-2.0%)

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
No 17¢353 shares
17¢→9.5¢
$60.01
$353.00
$33.54
−$26.48 (-44.1%)
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
Yes 41¢89.3 shares
41¢→34.5¢
$36.60
$89.27
$30.79
−$5.81 (-15.9%)
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?
No 74¢38.5 shares
74¢→73.5¢
$28.48
$38.49
$28.29
−$0.19 (-0.7%)

Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
No 81¢31 shares
81¢→82.5¢
$25.11
$31.00
$25.58
+$0.46 (+1.9%)
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
No 62.0¢40.2 shares
62.0¢→60.5¢
$24.92
$40.21
$24.32
−$0.60 (-2.4%)
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on August 31, 2026?
Yes 27¢154.9 shares
27¢→15.5¢
$41.83
$154.93
$24.01
−$17.82 (-42.6%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 12.0¢216.1 shares
12.0¢→11¢
$25.92
$216.06
$23.77
−$2.16 (-8.3%)

Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Yes 19¢177 shares
19¢→12.5¢
$33.63
$177.00
$22.13
−$11.51 (-34.2%)
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?
No 21¢632 shares
21¢→3.4¢
$132.72
$632.00
$21.17
−$111.55 (-84.0%)
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall?
No 57.0¢52 shares
57.0¢→39¢
$29.64
$52.00
$20.28
−$9.36 (-31.6%)
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?
Yes 24¢107 shares
24¢→17.5¢
$25.68
$107.00
$18.72
−$6.96 (-27.1%)

Will Rafael Leao join Besiktas?
Yes 17¢326 shares
17¢→5¢
$55.42
$326.00
$16.30
−$39.12 (-70.6%)

Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?
No 54¢142 shares
54¢→11¢
$76.68
$142.00
$15.62
−$61.06 (-79.6%)
Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week?
Yes 26¢32.3 shares
26¢→46¢
$8.40
$32.32
$14.87
+$6.46 (+76.9%)

Will Lawrie Hooper be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Yes 16¢185 shares
16¢→8¢
$29.60
$185.00
$14.80
−$14.80 (-50.0%)
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?
Yes 24¢176 shares
24¢→8¢
$42.24
$176.00
$14.08
−$28.16 (-66.7%)
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 12–16%?
Yes 38¢225 shares
38¢→6.3¢
$85.50
$225.00
$14.06
−$71.44 (-83.6%)
Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?
No 18¢175 shares
18¢→8¢
$31.50
$175.00
$14.00
−$17.50 (-55.6%)

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
No 71¢19.3 shares
71¢→71.5¢
$13.67
$19.26
$13.77
+$0.10 (+0.7%)

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
Yes 37¢94 shares
37¢→14.5¢
$34.78
$94.00
$13.63
−$21.15 (-60.8%)

Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?
No 17¢602 shares
17¢→2.3¢
$102.34
$602.00
$13.55
−$88.80 (-86.8%)

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
Yes 16¢298 shares
16¢→4.5¢
$47.68
$298.00
$13.41
−$34.27 (-71.9%)

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes 25¢200 shares
25¢→6.5¢
$50.00
$200.00
$13.00
−$37.00 (-74.0%)
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Yes 79.7¢16.2 shares
79.7¢→78.3¢
$12.94
$16.24
$12.71
−$0.24 (-1.8%)

Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
No 50¢33 shares
50¢→38.5¢
$16.50
$33.00
$12.71
−$3.80 (-23.0%)

Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Yes 30.7¢41 shares
30.7¢→30.4¢
$12.59
$41.00
$12.48
−$0.10 (-0.8%)

Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
Yes 13.4¢183 shares
13.4¢→6.7¢
$24.52
$182.98
$12.26
−$12.26 (-50.0%)

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 51.8¢23.6 shares
51.8¢→50.5¢
$12.24
$23.62
$11.93
−$0.31 (-2.5%)
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 20¢100 shares
20¢→11.5¢
$20.00
$100.01
$11.50
−$8.50 (-42.5%)

Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?
Yes 27¢39 shares
27¢→26.6¢
$10.53
$39.00
$10.35
−$0.18 (-1.7%)

Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
Yes 10¢271 shares
10¢→3.4¢
$27.10
$271.00
$9.21
−$17.89 (-66.0%)

Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?
No 86¢10 shares
86¢→91¢
$8.62
$10.02
$9.12
+$0.50 (+5.8%)

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
No 79¢11.6 shares
79¢→77.5¢
$9.14
$11.57
$8.97
−$0.17 (-1.9%)

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
No 8.1¢94 shares
8.1¢→9.5¢
$7.58
$93.98
$8.93
+$1.35 (+17.8%)

Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
Yes 19¢343 shares
19¢→2.4¢
$65.17
$343.00
$8.06
−$57.11 (-87.6%)

Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?
Yes 15¢297 shares
15¢→2.6¢
$44.55
$297.00
$7.87
−$36.68 (-82.3%)

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?
Yes 32¢50 shares
32¢→15¢
$16.00
$50.00
$7.50
−$8.50 (-53.1%)
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?
Yes 9¢373 shares
9¢→2¢
$33.57
$373.00
$7.46
−$26.11 (-77.8%)
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
No 62¢20 shares
62¢→37¢
$12.40
$20.00
$7.40
−$5.00 (-40.3%)
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026?
Yes 27¢29 shares
27¢→23¢
$7.83
$29.00
$6.67
−$1.16 (-14.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?
No 17¢38 shares
17¢→17.5¢
$6.46
$38.00
$6.65
+$0.19 (+2.9%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 15¢53 shares
15¢→12.5¢
$7.95
$53.00
$6.63
−$1.32 (-16.7%)
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 13¢69 shares
13¢→9¢
$8.97
$69.00
$6.21
−$2.76 (-30.8%)

Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Yes 22¢55.4 shares
22¢→11¢
$12.18
$55.38
$6.09
−$6.09 (-50.0%)

Will United Russia win the next Mordovia Parliament elections?
No 5¢372 shares
5¢→1.6¢
$18.60
$372.00
$5.77
−$12.83 (-69.0%)

Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?
Yes 9¢94 shares
9¢→5.5¢
$8.46
$94.00
$5.22
−$3.24 (-38.3%)

Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Yes 21¢32 shares
21¢→15.5¢
$6.72
$32.00
$4.96
−$1.76 (-26.2%)

Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?
Yes 15.9¢266 shares
15.9¢→1.8¢
$42.29
$266.00
$4.66
−$37.64 (-89.0%)

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 6¢166 shares
6¢→2.8¢
$9.96
$166.00
$4.57
−$5.39 (-54.2%)

Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
Yes 31¢36 shares
31¢→11.5¢
$11.16
$36.00
$4.14
−$7.02 (-62.9%)
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?
Yes 22¢33 shares
22¢→12.5¢
$7.26
$33.00
$4.13
−$3.13 (-43.2%)

Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
No 83¢4.9 shares
83¢→83.5¢
$4.05
$4.88
$4.07
+$0.02 (+0.6%)

Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General?
No 9¢96 shares
9¢→4.2¢
$8.64
$96.00
$4.03
−$4.61 (-53.3%)
Will Houston Texans finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?
Yes 14.0¢28 shares
14.0¢→14.0¢
$3.92
$28.00
$3.92
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Ginger Murray be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?
Yes 13.3¢211.5 shares
13.3¢→1.8¢
$28.13
$211.50
$3.91
−$24.22 (-86.1%)
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
Yes 29.0¢83 shares
29.0¢→4.7¢
$24.07
$83.00
$3.86
−$20.21 (-84.0%)

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Yes 78¢4.6 shares
78¢→82¢
$3.55
$4.55
$3.73
+$0.18 (+5.1%)
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
No 19¢181.7 shares
19¢→2¢
$34.51
$181.65
$3.63
−$30.88 (-89.5%)

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 73¢3.6 shares
73¢→85.5¢
$2.65
$3.63
$3.10
+$0.45 (+17.1%)

Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 14.0¢111 shares
14.0¢→2.8¢
$15.54
$111.00
$3.05
−$12.49 (-80.4%)

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?
No 17¢29 shares
17¢→10.5¢
$4.93
$29.00
$3.05
−$1.89 (-38.2%)
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600B on August 31?
Yes 23¢18.1 shares
23¢→16¢
$4.16
$18.07
$2.89
−$1.26 (-30.4%)

Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Yes 72¢3.9 shares
72¢→74¢
$2.80
$3.88
$2.87
+$0.08 (+2.8%)

Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
No 58.0¢4.8 shares
58.0¢→58.0¢
$2.80
$4.83
$2.80
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?
No 70¢4 shares
70¢→69.5¢
$2.80
$4.00
$2.78
−$0.02 (-0.7%)
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
Yes 90¢3 shares
90¢→91.5¢
$2.70
$3.00
$2.75
+$0.04 (+1.7%)
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?
Yes 61¢3 shares
61¢→88.0¢
$1.81
$2.96
$2.61
+$0.80 (+44.3%)

Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
No 57.8¢4 shares
57.8¢→64.5¢
$2.33
$4.04
$2.61
+$0.27 (+11.6%)

Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?
No 74¢3.3 shares
74¢→72.5¢
$2.46
$3.32
$2.41
−$0.05 (-2.0%)

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 74.7¢3.2 shares
74.7¢→74.3¢
$2.41
$3.23
$2.40
−$0.01 (-0.6%)
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
No 53¢7 shares
53¢→32.5¢
$3.71
$7.00
$2.28
−$1.44 (-38.7%)

Will Matthew Hayes advance to the general election for WA-05?
Yes 4¢207 shares
4¢→1.1¢
$8.28
$207.00
$2.17
−$6.11 (-73.7%)
